Week 9 TNF hits Hard Rock Stadium: Dolphins 2–6 host the 2–5 Ravens. Lamar Jackson returns from a three-game hamstring absence, re-centering Baltimore’s plan on a short week. Miami has lived without Tyreek Hill since late September, season-ending knee confirmed, and the offense has already retooled. Recent meetings still sting: Ravens 56–19 in 2023, Dolphins 42–38 in 2022, and 22–10 on that 2021 primetime ambush. Tonight is a litmus test: urgency, field-position chess, and the first explosive shot likely tilting an unsettled season. Can the Ravens run the table? Once more, in place of your usual pilot for this column, Jeff Pratt, I’ve got a few anytime TD bets I like for my weeknight Dolphins vs. Ravens slips.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Mark Andrews (+185)
Hard Rock will squeeze the field, and Baltimore’s red-zone menu tightens with boots, leaks, and glance. That’s Mark Andrews’ office. The matchup math tilts friendly: Miami has already allowed 17 red-zone touchdowns on 87 snaps inside the 20 and nine of those came through the air for 192 red-zone passing yards—fertile space for Baltimore’s play-action and shovel/look-off game to isolate Andrews on safeties and match-zone backers.
Miami’s broader tight end ledger is equally workable: through eight games the Dolphins have yielded 50 TE catches for 509 yards and three touchdowns, a steady stream of interior completions that fits Andrews’ stick, pivot, and seam tree when landmarks compress.
The Ravens won’t need explosives to cash this; they’ll stack 10- and 12-personnel in goal-to-go, pull linebackers a step with Derrick Henry, and let Lamar Jackson snap shoulders with split-flow before rifling hinge routes Andrews wins by habit. The Dolphins’ red-zone profile—102 points allowed with those nine passing TDs—invites methodical drives that end with first-read tight-end finishes rather than coin-flip shots outside.
At plus money, you’re betting concept and leverage more than raw yardage: Baltimore’s heavy sets create easy body-position wins, Miami’s red-zone pass defense has leaked just enough volume, and Andrews remains the trust throw when space gets tight. Mark Andrews anytime TD +185 (play to +160).
Stay locked in with live DraftKings Sportsbook Betting Splits here!
Jaylen Waddle (+145)
Miami’s tree condensed when Tyreek Hill tore his ACL and was ruled out for the remainder of the season. Jaylen Waddle now leads the room in receiving yards and is tied for the team lead in receiving touchdowns: 35 receptions on 50 targets for 504 yards and four scores, with a long of 46. Baltimore arrives healthier than they’ve been, but their profile has bled points this fall. Earlier in October, they ranked last in scoring defense and 31st in total defense, a shape that invites schemed explosives and red-zone leverage throws.
The matchup lands in Waddle’s sweet spot. Mike McDaniel will spam short motion and condensed splits to free whip, glance, and over routes, then layer orbit tags that force safeties to declare. Waddle’s usage supports it: he owns 26.6% of Miami’s targets to date and sits tied for the team lead in touchdown catches, giving him both volume and finishing access inside the 20. The environment helps, too. Thursday night, under humidity and noise, Miami plays fast at home and leans on quick game to stay on schedule. The opponent brings more bodies to Henry and Lamar later in the week, but here the geometry flips.
The Ravens’ early-season defensive inefficiency, now paired with travel, creates windows for motion-boosted crossers and slot fades. Waddle’s combination of first-read routes, team-leading production, and plus red-zone role makes +145 a green-light price, playable to +135.
Most-Bet Anytime TD Scorers for Dolphins/Ravens on TNF
Check back for these later!
