Tonight in Chicago, Illinois, the PFL hosts the last week of the semifinals for the 2025 World Tournament. Eight semifinal matchups will be held in the Middleweight, Light Heavyweight, and Heavyweight divisions. Fabian Edwards is taking on Josh Silveira in the Main Event of this card. Meanwhile, former Bellator Lightweight Champions Sergio Pettis and Raufeon Stots face off in a high-stakes semifinal bout.
This event features nine fights and the Main Card airs live on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET. Check out my two best bets below for the 2025 PFL Semifinals: Edwards vs. Silveira.
Fabian Edwards To Win By KO/TKO/DQ (+250)
Edwards is 4-2 in his previous six contests, with both losses coming against Bellator Middleweight Champion Johnny Eblen. Edwards has five knockouts in his career, with his last win against Impa Kasanganay coming via KO/TKO in April. Edwards is a big -500 favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, as his opponent Silveira is +380 to pull off the upset.
In this matchup, Edwards has a four-inch reach advantage (79″ vs. 75″) as both fighters are 6’1″. If Edwards can push the pace of this contest and successfully defend Silveira’s takedown attempts, he should be able to finish this fight inside the distance. Silveira has lost two of his last three fights while being 2-3 in his previous five contests.
Sergio Pettis Moneyline (+225)
Sergio Pettis is taking on Raufeon Stots in a fight between two former Bellator Lightweight Champions. This fight never came to fruition in Bellator but will finally happen under the PFL banner. You can get Sergio Pettis to win this fight at +225 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Pettis is 0-2 since winning six straight fights from 2019 to 2023. He defeated three former champions in that span and looked dominant. But since then, he has lost to Patchy Mix and Kyoji Horiguchi. This is Pettis’ first fight since June 2024, and he hasn’t yet fought for the PFL.
Stots last beat Marcos Breno in October 2024 and has won 13 of his previous 14 contests. But now, Stots is 36, five years older than Pettis. Stots is the bigger fighter in this matchup, being taller by one inch (5’7″ vs. 5’6″) with a 3.5-inch larger reach (72.5″ vs. 69″). Pettis needs to be the most aggressive fighter while displaying his well-rounded arsenal. It is surprising to see Pettis as this big of an underdog since he held the Bellator title more recently than Stots.
