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Prediction, pick for Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Kevin Lee

Prediction, pick for Gadzhi Rabadanov vs. Kevin Lee

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

The 2024 PFL Lightweight Champion Gadzhi Rabadanov takes on veteran Kevin Lee in the semifinals of the 2025 PFL World Tournament. Rabadanov is coming off a knockout against Marc Diakiese in April, while Lee submitted Thiago Oliveira in September 2024. Lee is a former UFC title challenger and is one of PFL’s most recent signings.

Here is my pick for the Main Event of tonight’s PFL event.

Gadzhi Rabadanov To Win By Decision (+240)

Tonight, Rabadanov will face the toughest opponent of his career, Kevin Lee. Lee has faced multiple UFC champions during his nine-year career in the promotion. Lee last competed in September 2024 and is 4-6 in his previous 10 fights. Lee was previously signed to the GFL (Global Fight League) but eventually joined the PFL.

Rabadanov is a massive -950 favorite, but that doesn’t tell the whole story. Rabadanov was a -2100 favorite yesterday, but the odds have shifted significantly. Getting Rabadanov at +240 on DraftKings Sportsbook to win this bout by decision is an excellent play.

Rabadanov has had 11 wins by decision in his previous 15 contests. Since it is a three-round fight, Rabadanov could struggle to finish Lee, who has only been knocked out once in his career. Rabadanov, the smaller fighter, must be the aggressor in this fight. Since this is Lee’s first time competing in the PFL Smartcage, it favors Rabadanov, who has fought five times in the promotion.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.