Tonight, the PFL’s semifinals begin in Wichita, Kansas, at the Intrust Bank Arena. The “Motown Phenom,” Kevin Lee, is making his debut for the PFL against 2024 PFL Lightweight Champion Gadzhi Rabadanov.
This event features 12 fights and the Main Card airs live on ESPN at 8:00 p.m. ET. Check out my two best bets below for the 2025 PFL Semifinals: Rabadanov vs Lee.
Gadzhi Rabadanov To Win By Decision (+240)
Even though Rabadanov is on a three-fight knockout streak, his previous six victories came by decision. Tonight, Rabadanov will face his most experienced opponent yet, Kevin Lee. Lee has faced multiple UFC champions and was in the UFC for nine years.
Over the last few years, Lee has had many breaks from the sport. He has only fought twice in the previous two years and last competed in September 2024. Lee is 4-6 in his previous 10 fights.
With Rabadanov being a big -950 favorite, the better value play is to get him to win this bout by decision at +240 on DraftKings Sportsbook. 11 of Rabadanov’s last 15 wins have been by decision. It will likely be extremely tough for him to finish the always-tough veteran Lee.
Lee has the reach (77″ vs. 71″) and height (5’9″ vs. 5’8″) advantage in this matchup, so Rabadanov will need to control the pace of this fight to win. Although Lee has been in many big fights, his inactivity makes it hard to trust him.
Brent Primus To Win By Submission (+275)
Since entering the PFL, Brent Primus has made an impact. He is 4-1 in the promotion with three submissions. Primus is a former Bellator Lightweight Champion and still has gold on his mind at 40 years old. He will face Alfie Davis tonight, who has won four of his last five fights.
This is a favorable matchup for Primus as he has a three-inch larger standing reach (73″ vs. 70″). Nine of Primus’s 16 MMA wins have come by submission. When Primus takes down his opponents, he does a great job of moving quickly and trying to finish the contest. Davis’s last loss against Mansoour Barnaoui in November 2024 was by submission.
