Sunday Night Baseball in the Bronx! And it’s the rubber match in the first 2025 meeting between these two teams. There’s trash talk. There’s fan outrage in Boston—both with regards to sloppy defensive play and the lack of Roman Anthony on the roster. We’re not so much concerned with sides, predictions, and picks for that game as we are evaluating Aaron Judge’s betting lines tonight against brand new nemesis Hunter Dobbins. Let’s evaluate his’s best prop bets on the market for tonight’s Sunday Night Baseball game between the Yankees and the Red Sox.
Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.
Best Aaron Judge prop bet for Angels vs. Yankees tonight
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-150)
Dobbins, making just his eighth career start, has posted a solid 4.06 ERA but is vulnerable to power-hitting lineups like the Yankees. His 1.33 WHIP and .271 opponent batting average indicate that he can be hit hard, especially in a high-pressure environment like Yankee Stadium. Judge, meanwhile, is on an absolute tear, boasting a .390 batting average, 21 home runs, and 51 RBIs—leading the league in all three categories. Judge’s 15.6% barrel rate this season ranks in the 98th percentile, highlighting his consistent ability to make solid contact.
The Yankees’ offense is built for power, ranking third in the MLB in runs per game and leading the league in home runs. Dobbins has allowed four home runs in his last 19 innings pitched, a concerning trend against a lineup with Judge’s ability to change the game with one swing. Judge also ranks second in MLB with a .746 slugging percentage, which is critical in a game where hitting gaps or launching a long ball is the key.
Additionally, Judge has a career .421 OBP and has been walking at a 13.2% rate this season, positioning him to get on base and score more frequently. The Yankees’ offense also ranks first in MLB for walks (256), which means Judge will likely see good pitch selection in favorable hitter’s counts.
The Red Sox have struggled against high-powered offenses this season, and with Dobbins facing a lineup like the Yankees, Judge’s strong numbers against rookie pitchers (career .296 average with 37 homers in 55 games) suggest he will continue to dominate.
Judge can clear two of these in one swing of the bat.
Best bet: Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-150)
Judge feasts on rookie pitchers, and thrives in a deep, protected lineup!—tail it with me in the DKN Betting Group here!
