Both the Los Angeles Sparks and the Dallas Wings are in the middle of lengthy rebuilding processes after finishing with 8-32 and 9-31 records, respectively, the two worst marks in the league. Thankfully, both teams have building blocks for the future; Wings guard Paige Bueckers has been everything she was advertised to be, while the Sparks traded for three-time All-Star Kelsey Plum.
Now blessed as her team’s first option for the first time in her career, Plum has excelled, averaging 22.9 points, 4.8 assists, and 2.3 steals per game on 40-37-85 shooting splits. She and Los Angeles will travel to face Dallas tonight at 9:30 p.m. ET.
The Sparks are 2.5-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the point total set for 174. Below, I’ve detailed my favorite prop bets centered around Plum.
Best Kelsey Plum Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
Kelsey Plum O5.5 Assists (+114)
Plum has played two consecutive poor games, failing to reach 20 points or record more than three assists in either game while shooting a combined 23.6% from the field and 17.6% from beyond the arc. Still, those outings came against two of the WNBA’s best defenses, the Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces, and each game came on two or fewer days of rest. Now, the 30-year-old has had four days off, and she’s going against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Wings have allowed 24 assists per game, by far the most in the league. They’ve also allowed the third-most fast-break points, and Plum often uses her passing ability to initiate the fast-break. Plus, she wasn’t the only Los Angeles player to shoot poorly against the Mercury, as Azura Stevens shot two-for-10 and Emma Cannon one-for-eight. Dallas has allowed the fourth-highest field goal percentage this season, so her playmaking — and scoring — ceiling should be high tonight.
Kelsey Plum O3.5 Three-Pointers Made (+115)
Given the Wings’ defensive shortcomings, I expect Plum to pair her high usage with accuracy, so she should be a good bet to make four or more threes tonight for the fifth time this season. She’s been unafraid to fire away from deep this season — her 8.8 three-point attempts per game trail only Rhyne Howard and Caitlin Clark — and four-for-10 nights from her should be both the norm and the expectation. This season, Dallas has allowed the fifth-most made threes per game on the fourth-best percentage. In particular, the Wings have struggled to guard the right corner, where Plum has made five of her six attempts so far this season.