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Best Corbin Carroll prop bet for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers on Wednesday 5/21/25

Best Corbin Carroll prop bet for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers on Wednesday 5/21/25

MLB DraftKings Network DraftKings Sportsbook Insights

Published:

By: Dan Johnson

I’ve got my preview, prediction, and best bet for this Wednesday night baseball game between the Diamondbacks and the Dodgers already published here at DKN, which you can check out here. Some additional analysis on this game, too, in our best MLB bets of the day. Having said that, we’re just going to be evaluating the betting market for 2025’s most resurgent hitter: Corbin Carroll. Let’s evaluate his’s best prop bets on the market for tonight’s game between the Red Sox and the Mets.

Here’s how I’ll play it. I’ll be pumping out these predictions for individual games all season, with plenty of coverage here on DraftKings Network. Follow my handle @dansby_edits for more betting plays.

Best Corbin Carroll prop bet for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers tonight

Corbin Carroll 3+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (+130)

Like nearly all nights of the week that end in “y,” Corbin Carroll is primed for a big night Wednesday against the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks’ leadoff hitter has been raking, with 15 home runs and 57 hits on the season. His elite .597 slugging percentage, paired with his nine stolen bases, gives him immense value in this prop market. Facing Dustin May, who has allowed four-plus earned runs in each of his last two starts, Carroll’s power and speed combination will thrive. He’s totally resurgent, and he’s worth betting on.

Not to mention—May struggles with control, posting a 4.43 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. His recent inconsistency against left-handers makes him vulnerable to the top of Arizona’s order. Carroll’s ability to get on base and make an impact in multiple areas is evident. He ranks in the 90th percentile for his flyball pull rate (35.7%), which could prove advantageous against May’s high groundball rate.

Carroll’s 138 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season showcases his dynamic offensive capabilities, and his 12.5% barrel rate has him among the league’s best in generating hard contact. His recent form includes a .314 batting average over the past week, with multiple extra-base hits, highlighting his ongoing momentum. The Dodgers’ bullpen, ranked 21st in ERA, could also contribute to Carroll’s chances for a productive night.

With a combined total of hits, runs, and RBIs in his recent games surpassing this prop, and facing a vulnerable pitcher, Carroll is poised to exceed his mark tonight at +130 odds.

Best bet: Corbin Carroll 3+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (+130)

Carroll Crushes—tail it with me in the DKN Betting Group here!

Dan Johnson
Dan Johnson has been an editor, writer, and analyst for DraftKings and DraftKings Network since 2024. He’s previously held editorial posts at The Paris Review, Macmillan Publishers, Bedford/St. Martin’s Press, ASSIGNMENT Magazine, and FantasySixPack. You can find his various editorial work & writing (sports-related and non-) at all of the above.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.