At Gillette Stadium on Sunday, Jan. 5, the Buffalo Bills face the New England Patriots, starting at 1 p.m. ET. The Bills should win, based on our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips about the point spread, over/under and even the final score.
Patriots vs. Bills Predictions
- Our prediction to win on the Moneyline in this game is the Bills, by a final score of Bills 34, Patriots 14.
- Against the spread, we expect that the Bills will cover. The spread is currently Bills -3.5.
- As for the total, we see this one going over the posted over/under of 36.5 points. Our projected total for the match is 47.5 points.
Patriots vs. Bils Odds
- Spread favorite: Bills (-3.5)
- Moneyline: Bills (-162), Patriots (+136)
- Total: 36.5 points
Bills Betting Trends
- The Bills’ ATS record is 10-6-0 this season.
- In games this season as favorites of at least 3.5 points, Buffalo has a 5-4 record against the spread.
- Bills games with a set total have hit the over 10 times this season (62.5%).
- The Bills have won 91.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (11-1).
- Buffalo is 9-1 (winning 90% of its games) when it have played as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter.
Patriots Betting Trends
- The Patriots have a 6-9-1 record against the spread this season.
- When it has played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this year, New England is 5-8 against the spread.
- Out of the Patriots’ 16 games with a set total, 10 have hit the over (62.5%).
- The Patriots have been underdogs in 16 games this season and won three (18.8%) of those contests.
- This season, New England has won three of its 13 games, or 23.1%, when it is the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
Bills Key Stats
- Total offense: 365.4 yards per game, ninth in NFL
- Passing offense: 234.1 yards per game, ninth in NFL
- Rushing offense: 131.3 yards per game, ninth in NFL
- Total defense: 343.6 yards per game, 20th in NFL
- Passing defense: 225.7 yards per game, 22nd in NFL
- Rushing defense: 117.9 yards per game, 13th in NFL
Patriots Key Stats
- Total offense: 290.9 yards per game, 30th in NFL
- Passing offense: 172.7 yards per game, 32nd in NFL
- Rushing offense: 118.2 yards per game, 13th in NFL
- Total defense: 348.1 yards per game, 23rd in NFL
- Passing defense: 216.7 yards per game, 15th in NFL
- Rushing defense: 131.4 yards per game, 25th in NFL
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.
This article contains AI-generated editorial insights provided by Data Skrive.