Last Bears vs. Vikings throwdown resulted in a 30-27 finish in Chicago. The Week 15 rematch of these two NFC North teams only has a total of 44, which is well below last meeting’s 57-point output. Does that mean the over is the bet to play when making predictions on the Bears vs. Vikings total?
Below, we’ll take a look at this game’s betting splits, which will illustrate the predictions bettors are making with regard to the moneyline, spread and game total for Bears vs. Vikings. Following that, you’ll find some of the betable streaks that are active in this game.
Game splits
Moneyline
The Vikings (-345) are the overwhelming popular moneyline play vs. the Bears. An absurd 95% of the moneyline bets have gone toward Minnesota.
But, that’s only translated to 89% of the handle. Not the most overwhelming set of splits for the Bears, but that positive 6% difference isn’t nothing.
That said, the action on the spread does make it harder to back a Chicago upset.
Spread
The Vikings are much less popular of a play than the moneyline — in terms of percentage of bets. Still, Minnesota ATS has seen 80% of the spread bets. Furthermore, those plays have accounted for 82% of the spread handle. Not a big lean, but it does indicate the Bears ATS isn’t emerging as a sharp play.
This play has not decreased below its opening 6-even line and it has not exceeded 7-even, which is where it sits now. The upward increase does track with the action the Vikings have seen, so there’s nothing odd going on with the spread’s movement.
Total
The Bears vs. Vikings total has fluctuated a fair bit, but the changes have not been overwhelming. Since opening at 43-even, this has bottomed out at 42.5 and topped out at the current 44-even mark.
So, the splits carry weight. That’s huge, because this has the clearest lean of the bunch.
On 62% of the game-total bets, the over has seen 73% of the handle.
Trends to note
To close things out, here are a few trends to consider before making your Bears vs. Vikings predictions:
- Aaron Jones has 23-plus receiving yards in each of his last eight games vs. the Bears. (Receiving yards O/U is 15.5.)
- The Bears have lost their last eight road games. They’ve also lost the first half in each of their last seven road games. In their last four road games, the Bears also lost the first quarter.
- D.J. Moore logged 62 or more receiving yards in each of his prior seven games vs. the NFC North. (Receiving yards O/U is 57.5.)
- The Vikings have not covered in any of their last six home games vs. the NFC North.
- Cole Kmet has 32-plus receiving yards in each of his last MNF games. (Receiving yards O/U is 25.5.)
- Aaron Jones scored a touchdown in each of his last four MNF games.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
