Both a trend and system from Rams vs. Dolphins align with one of the major leans that’s visible via this game’s betting splits. Let’s start with those splits first, which reflect the predictions being made by DraftKings Sportsbook bettors for Rams vs. Dolphins.
Game splits
Moneyline
The Rams (-142) straight-up have emerged as both a public and sharp prediction vs. the Dolphins (+120). Seventy-six percent of the moneyline handle has gone toward the Rams winning, as well as 67% of the bets.
Spread
Los Angeles remains the public play here, and the Rams also have a slight sharp lean. However, 78% of the spread handle on 75% of the spread bets isn’t nearly as strong as what we’re seeing with the moneyline.
Also, this spread has moved around quite a bit since opening at 3-even. The Rams have been as low as 1-point favorites. They also have not been greater than 3-point favorites vs. Miami.
With this still being in line with the moneyline lean, taking the value for the Rams to simply win may be the better way to go.
Total
This opened at 49.5, rose to 51-even and now sits at 48.5.
All the while, the over has emerged as both the popular and sharp play, seeing 68% of the game-total handle on 58% of the game-total bets.
Those looking to play the total should continue to track the splits and the total’s movement.
System to note
Going along with the moneyline lean toward the Rams, NFC favorites are 17-5 straight-up (77.33%) vs. AFC teams this season.
Trends to note
Fitting with both the system above and the moneyline splits: The Dolphins have lost the last 8 games in which they’ve played as underdogs. Also, the Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in the last four games that were an underdog vs. the NFC.
Here are a few more trends to consider before making your Rams vs. Dolphins predictions:
- Kyren Williams has scored a touchdown in eight consecutive home games.
- Raheem Mostert has logged 56-plus rushing yards in his last five November games. (Rushing yards O/U is 32.5.)
- Mostert also has 10-plus receiving yards in the last four Miami games that followed a Dolphins loss. (Receiving yards O/U is 7.5.)
- Puka Nacua has 72-plus receiving yards in each of his last five games against AFC teams. (Receiving yards O/U is 68.5.)
- The Rams enter Monday with five consecutive first-half wins against AFC teams.
- Tyreek Hill has scored a touchdown in each of his last four games at SoFi Stadium. He also logged 81-plus receiving yards in each of those games. (Receiving yards O/U is 75.5)
- Matthew Stafford has logged 279-plus passing yards in the last four instances that the Rams were playing as a favorite after a win. (Passing yards O/U is 257.5.)
- Demarcus Robinson has 35-plus receiving yards in each of the last four games in which the Rams were coming off a win. (Receiving yards O/U is 30.5.)
The Crown Is Yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate host for games and betting experiences!
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
