Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is off to an MVP start to the season as expected. The Oklahoma City Thunder star has averaged 26.1 points, 6.4 assists, and 5.9 rebounds per game while leading the Thunder to an 8-1 start to the year. They will face one of their most difficult matchups of the season as the Warriors are off to a 7-2 star.
The Thunder enter this game as six-point favorites over the Warriors on DraftKings Sportsbook. Golden State is listed as +210 underdogs on the moneyline with the game total set at 228 points.
As the Thunder prepares for one of their toughest matchups of the season thus far, here are the best Shai Gilgeous-Alexander prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook:
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prop Bets on DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook has set Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s prop lines for points (27.5), rebounds (6.5), assists (6.5), and made three-pointers (1.5). Here are the top betting options to consider:
Over 27.5 Points (-125): The point line for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set at 27.5 points with the over favored at -125 and the under odds at -105. Oklahoma City’s star has averaged 26.3 points per game this season and recorded over 27.5 points in just five of the nine games thus far. He also averaged 30.1 points per game last season and 31.4 points per game the season before.
The Warriors present a difficult matchup and are holding opponents to the sixth-fewest points per game. In his career, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.0 points in the three matchups he has played against Golden State. However, this is a more defensive-oriented Warriors team than they have traditionally been.
Over 6.5 Rebounds (+110): Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s rebounding prop is set at 6.5 with the under-favored at -142 odds and the odds for the over at +110. He has recorded over 6.5 rebounds in four of the nine games so far this season. The 5.9 rebounds per game he is currently averaging is tied for a career-high with Gilgeous-Alexander averaging 5.5 per game last season. While the odds are fairly juiced, I lean toward the under in this category.
Over 6.5 Assists (+100) The assist line for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set at 6.5 with the under-favored at -130 odds and the over set at +100. He has recorded over 6.5 assists in four of the nine games including recording nine assists in three separate games. The 6.4 assists he is currently averaging marks a career-high, but this does feel more sustainable as the Thunder superstar has grown more comfortable relying on the talented players surrounding him. Expect him to continue growing as a playmaker and I lean toward the over here.
Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-125): The three-point line for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set at 1.5 with the over favored at -125 odds and the under set at -105. The Thunder superstar has seen an uptick in his three-point volume this season attempting a career-high 5.7 per game, but is connecting at a 27.5% rate. Throughout his career, he has attempted 3.4 three-point attempts per game and shoots 34.6% on these attempts.
So far this season, Gilgeous-Alexander has recorded over 1.5 three-point makes in five of the nine games. The increase in three-point volume has been an NBA-wide adjustment and Gilgeous-Alexander has kept up with this. While he is typically known as a mid-range maestro, the increased volume from beyond the arc is calculated. He did not attempt more than eight three-pointers in any game last season and has eclipsed this number twice already this year. This is a trend that should be expected to continue, and the Thunder superstar will see his percentage grow. Expect him to knock down a pair of three-pointers in this game and capitalize before his props begin to catch up with this increased volume.
Over 40.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-120): The combined total for points, rebounds, and assists sits at 40.5 for this game with the over favored at -120 odds and the under set at -110. This is a great way to get involved with a player like Gilgeous-Alexander who can put his fingerprints on the performance in a variety of ways. He has eclipsed this number just twice so far this year but also has been limited to fewer than 32 minutes of gameplay in five games due to the game being in good hands. This should not be expected to be the case against a 7-2 Warriors team.
If you are feeling bold, you also can bet Gilgeous-Alexander to record a double-double at +290 or a triple-double at +2000 odds. He fell just one assist short of a triple-double once already this season.
Futures Outlook: There are high expectations for both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder. As a team, Oklahoma City is second in championship odds at +425. They are the favorites to win the Western Conference at +220 odds with the Minnesota Timberwolves second at +600 odds.
Gilgeous-Alexander is also the current favorite at +350 odds. Luka Doncic and Nikola Jokic are tied for second in this category at +400 odds. SGA also holds +800 odds of winning Finals MVP, trailing only Jayson Tatum in this category.
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.
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