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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Tatis Jr. has been on a different level during these playoffs. Coming into tonight, he’s already 9-for-14 with three home runs, two doubles and five RBI. Now, he’ll have a great matchup against Dodgers starter Walker Buehler. It’s been a lost season for the Dodgers starter, who had a 5.38 ERA with an xERA of 4.68 and a 5.54 FIP during the regular season. Buehler throws both a four seam and cutter as his two main pitches, combining for 52% of his arsenal. Tatis crushes both of these pitches with a .490 wOBA and a .443 ISO against the four seam and a .449 wOBA and a .333 ISO against the cutter. With the way he’s locked in at the plate right now, another offensive outburst for him is certainly in the cards.
First 5: Padres -0.5 (-115)
Going with the theme of the last bet, I think the Padres will also be in the lead after five innings. Michael King taking the mound for the Padres gives me a lot of confidence in this bet. He pitched a gem in his first playoff start against the Braves, tossing seven shutout innings and racking up 12 strikeouts, which tied his season-high. King has made four starts against the Dodgers this season and after being roughed up by them in April, he allowed just one unearned run in his next two. His last start of the regular season was against this team, tossing five innings and three hits. King has been locked in since the second-half of the season and owned a 2.15 ERA with a .264 wOBA through 62.2 innings.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
