Mitch Raposo takes on Marcos Degli in a three-round Flyweight fight at today’s UFC Fight Night. Raposo (11-3) has won two straight bouts, while Degli enters this bout on a 13-fight winning streak. This fight is kicking off tonight’s UFC Fight Night Main Card.
Check out my best bet below for Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.
Marcos Degli to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (+140)
On September 22 at Dana White’s Contender Series, Marcos Degli delivered a phenomenal performance, submitting Paris Moran in the second round and earning a UFC contract. At 26, Degli holds a 15-3 record with 14 finishes. He has won 13 consecutive fights and hasn’t lost since March 2022. Before appearing on DWCS, Degli reigned as the LFA Flyweight Champion from February 2025 to January 2026.
Raposo, 28, is 2-2 in the UFC and has picked up wins over Allan Nascimento and Azat Maksum in the last year. Degli has the height (5’6″ vs. 5’5″) and reach (67″ vs. 64″) advantage over Raposo. On DraftKings Sportsbook, Degli is a -230 favorite, while Raposo is a +190 underdog. This bout has an over/under of 2.5 rounds, with the over at -130 and the under at +100.
In the UFC, Raposo is averaging 1.91 significant strikes per minute and 1.98 takedowns per 15 minutes. Although Raposo is on a good run, he has been passive at times, which has made it hard for him to beat elite opponents. I believe Degli’s pace, pressure, and aggressiveness will be too much for Raposo to handle in this bout. 12 of Degli’s previous 13 wins and 14 of his 15 victories have come by knockout or submission. With that in mind, I’m taking Degli to win by KO/TKO/DQ or submission at +140.
