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MLB DFS Picks Today: Top DraftKings Targets, Values for Thursday, 10/15/26

MLB DFS Picks Today: Top DraftKings Targets, Values for Thursday, 10/15/26

Updated:

By: Stan Son

We’ve got a two-game slate for Thursday’s MLB Championship Series action.

Let’s find some studs and value picks for your DraftKings MLB DFS lineups. This article was written before lineups were announced.

Make your DraftKings MLB DFS picks here: MLB $40K Relay Throw [$10K to 1st].

PITCHER

Gavin Williams, Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays ($9,000) — Williams was strong in the regular season, posting a 3.47 FIP and a 25.1% K-BB%. He had nine 30+ FPTS performances, including two over 40 FPTS. In two postseason starts, he finished with 25 and 38.4 FPTS, with double-digit strikeouts in both. In his lone start against Tampa Bay this season, Williams went 7.2 innings, striking out nine and allowing zero earned runs — good for 35.6 FPTS.

INFIELD

Stud

Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays ($4,900) — Ramirez had an explosive ALDS finish: in the last three games, he went 5-for-12 with two home runs, a triple, a double, seven RBIs, a stolen base, and two walks. He’s carried that momentum into Tampa Bay, going 4-for-9 with two runs, an RBI, and a stolen base so far in the ALCS. The Guardians have ranked top 10 in wRC+, wOBA, and ISO since the beginning of September, and their best hitter has woken up.

Value

Patrick Bailey, Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays ($2,300) — Bailey did not start last game, as Austin Hedges has been the primary catcher for Parker Messick. But Bailey should get the nod for this one. During the regular season, Bailey posted an average exit velocity of 90.5 mph, a 13.4-degree launch angle and 72.8 mph bat speed. He posted double-digit FPTS twice in the ALDS, including 21 FPTS in Game 4. Bailey opened the ALCS by going 2-for-4 with a home run in Game 1, good for 17 FPTS.

OUTFIELD

Stud

Kyle Tucker, Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers ($4,600) — Tucker had a brutal regular season, but he’s heated up for the playoffs. He has contributed fantasy goodies in every game so far. While the production hasn’t been awe-inspiring, his at-bats have been good, and he went deep in Game 1 against Atlanta for 24 FPTS.

Value

Sal Frelick, Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers ($2,400) — Frelick bats eighth in the lineup, sits against lefties, and lacks favorable metrics. He has an .088 ISO, an 85.7 mph average exit velocity, a 2.2% barrel rate, and 68.3 mph bat speed. That said, he ranks in the 85th percentile in sprint speed and in the 97th percentile for strikeout rate. Frelick has produced fantasy goodies in four straight games, including two double-digit performances.

More on this game

Stan joined DraftKings in December of 2020. It was a glorious time, except for that whole COVID thing, when we got Madden streams and boisterous bat flips from the KBO. I was brought on board to bring some West Coast flavor. I especially love hoops, and most of my content is in that arena. When I walk along the beach, strumming my guitar, the beat that I hear is not one of crashing waves. No, it is the beat of the ball bouncing off the hardwood with highs provided by the squeaks of the sneakers. Ball is life.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.