Bijan Robinson and the Atlanta Falcons will close down the Week 5 Sunday slate in a primetime matchup with the Baltimore Ravens. This matchup lost a bit of luster due to Lamar Jackson being sidelined with an ankle injury, but both of these teams are firmly in their divisional races and eager to add another win.
Looking at the odds for the SNF matchup, the Falcons enter as three-point favorites and hold -175 odds to win outright on DraftKings Sportsbook. The Ravens hold +145 odds to produce the upset, with the game total set at O/U 43.5 points.
There are plenty of ways to get involved in the action. You can check out the preview for the game outlook and plenty more on DraftKings Network here. But let’s look at my top Bijan Robinson prop bet for tonight’s Sunday Night Football matchup.
Bijan Robinson Best Receiving Yards Pick vs. Ravens
Bijan Robinson Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Few players in the National Football League are playing at a higher level than Bijan Robinson right now. Through the opening four games, the Falcons star has rushed for 494 rushing yards, 120 receiving yards, and five total touchdowns. Robinson is one of the most feared offensive talents in the league, and Atlanta leans on him at a high rate in both the ground and passing game.
On paper, this is a tough matchup for Robinson to be involved in the passing game. The Ravens have allowed the fewest receiving yards to opposing running backs this season with just 37 total yards conceded. But the two-time Pro Bowler should not be viewed through the same lens as just a typical running back. At least some of the success that Baltimore has had has been due to the matchups. The primary running backs that Baltimore has faced have been Jonathan Taylor, Travis Etienne Jr./Alvin Kamara, Javonte Williams, and Tony Pollard. Each running back has some impressive areas of their skillset, but Robinson is much more talented as a pass catcher than any they have faced this season. As talented as Roquan Smith and Kyle Hamilton are, expect the Falcons’ running back to cause some issues in the coverage plans.
Robinson burst onto the scene this year with eight receptions on 10 targets for 90 yards in the season opener. He has been limited to just 30 total receiving yards in the three weeks since, but has seen at least two targets in each game. The Texas product is averaging 30.0 receiving yards per game on the season, but averaged 48.2 yards through the air last year and 33.8 throughout his career. Robinson has tallied over 27.5 receiving yards in 28 of his 55 career games.
Outside of Drake London, Atlanta is a bit lacking in talent at the wide receiver position. Robinson is a part of the solution to this and is capable of lining up as a wideout or catching the ball out of the backfield. Baltimore ranks 20th in the league in opponents’ points allowed and 15th in opponents passing yards. Penix Jr.’s return from injury has injected some life into this Falcons’ offense, and the entire passing game has opened up more with him under center. Baltimore’s defense grades out more favorably against the run, and expect Robinson’s impact in the short passing and screen game to serve as an extension to the rushing attack. He can take any given opportunity with the ball in his hands for well over 27.5 yards, and I am backing the star running back to clear this margin against the Ravens tonight.
