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Prediction, pick for Dakota Ditcheva vs. Denise Kielholtz at PFL New York

Prediction, pick for Dakota Ditcheva vs. Denise Kielholtz at PFL New York

Updated:

By: Ryan Wohl

In the co-main event of tonight’s PFL event at the UBS Arena in Elmont, New York, rising superstar Dakota Ditcheva makes her return against Denise Kielholtz. Although she isn’t a current champion, Ditcheva is the best women’s fighter in the PFL. Ditcheva is 15-0 with 13 finishes and is 1-0 in the PFL. Kielholtz has a record of 9-5 and enters this fight on a three-fight winning streak. 

Check out my best bet below for Dakota Ditcheva vs. Denise Kielholtz at tonight’s PFL event.

Under 1.5 Rounds (-210)

Ditcheva was originally scheduled to face Kielholtz in February, but it was canceled and booked for a later date after Ditcheva got injured. Since entering the PFL, Ditcheva won the PFL Europe Tournament Championship in 2023 and also the PFL Tournament Championship in 2024. In her last fight, Ditcheva beat Sumiko Inaba by unanimous decision, which was the first decision victory of her career.

In this fight on DraftKings Sportsbook, Ditcheva is a massive -6500 favorite with Kielholtz being a +2000 underdog. Also, this fight’s over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the under being -210 and the over is +160.

Coming off a year-long layoff, it is likely that Ditcheva will enter this fight aggressively, searching for a quick finish. 10 of Ditcheva’s 15 career victories have come in the first round, and she has won seven of her last 10 contests in the first round. Ditcheva is six inches taller (5’9″ vs. 5’3″) with a four-inch reach advantage (70″ vs. 66″) and should be able to use her physical advantage to exert her dominance easily. That is why my favorite play is taking the under of 1.5 rounds at -210 in this contest.

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.