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NBA Best Bets: Prediction, Pick & Player Prop for Thunder vs. Spurs Game 6

NBA Best Bets: Prediction, Pick & Player Prop for Thunder vs. Spurs Game 6

Published:

By: Julian Edlow

San Antonio Spurs vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

Despite significant respect for the Spurs in the market leading up to Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, the Thunder got the win at home to take a 3-2 series lead. OKC is now one win away from returning to the NBA Finals, while the Spurs will look to continue their strong play at home and force a Game 7 on Saturday night.

While the Spurs’ streak of bouncing back off a loss ended in Game 3 of this series, they still opened that game 15-0. Strong starts off a loss, particularly when playing at home the following game, have been a theme with this team. In the previous round against Minnesota, San Antonio won both first quarters off a loss — including a dominant 18 points from Victor Wembanyama in the first quarter of Game 5 at home. Off the previous two losses to OKC in this series, the Spurs have won the first quarter of the next game by five and nine points, both times at home. Wembanyama scored seven and 11 points in those quarters.

So I’m looking to a correlated Same Game Parlay here, backing the Spurs to get off to a hot start, led by Wemby. I’ll back San Antonio on the first quarter moneyline, along with Wembanyama to score at least eight points in the opening frame. Not only off a loss, but with the Spurs’ backs against the wall, I expect them to open up playing with a ton of energy. Wemby is off a tough game, which generally means getting him involved early the next time out.

Who knows if the moment is too big for the young Spurs as the game goes on. Perhaps OKC’s championship experience prevails, as it did when grinding out of that 15-0 hole in Game 3. But I’ll confidently back both the Spurs and Wemby to come out of the gates quick on Thursday night in Game 6.

NBA Pick: Spurs 1Q ML/Wembanyama 8+ 1Q Points (+150)

Julian Edlow has contributed to DraftKings since 2015, and is currently employed as a Content Specialist with a focus on Sports Betting. During his time at DK, Julian has experience covering the NFL, NBA, MLB, College Football and College Basketball. He has also has experience covering both Daily Fantasy Sports and Sportsbook as a writer and on-air talent. Prior to arriving at DK, Julian was a reporter covering the Boston Celtics and the NBA for multiple outlets. Julian is currently leading the charge on DK Network’s College Football and College Basketball coverage, although you’ll still find him contributing to NFL and NBA.
Disclaimer

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.