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NBA Betting Systems: Trending Basketball Picks, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook

Nick Friar utilizes the DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub to search for potential NBA plays over the next week based on betting systems that have stood out recently.

NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbooks’ Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season. With this article, we’re going to look at some of the systems that have been trending over the past week with the intent of finding other games that could apply to those systems over the next week of games.

One thing to note about the potential upcoming system matches sections throughout this article. NBA favorite/underdog, spread and totals are generally not available until the evening before games. Also, some systems can be based on the result of a previous game. Confirm the games mentioned under this section are matches prior to making your picks.

UPDATE:

PICKS FOR JANUARY 4

MIL-SAS over 247.5

GSW +3

PICKS FOR JANUARY 3

IND +3.5


SYSTEM: Home underdogs ATS after not playing the previous day

Over the holidays, this system has been quite effective. Underdogs in this setting have covered 62.5% of the time (10-6) over the last seven days, which has elevated the system to right around a break-even play for those who’ve been utilizing it throughout 2023-24 (assuming every play in the system was played at -110 odds).

During this recent stretch, road underdogs have also done well ATS after not playing the previous day. However, I’m going with this home underdogs system instead for two reasons:

  1. The road underdogs system hasn’t been as successful of a season-long play despite being a more effective play over the last seven days.
  2. This play has crossover potential with one of the better season-long NBA systems, home underdogs ATS coming off a win (33-24-2).

POTENTIAL SYSTEM MATCHES: Home underdogs ATS after not playing the previous day

1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7
1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7
OKC vs. BOS CLE vs. WAS SAS vs. MIL IND vs. ATL N/A CLE vs. SAS
IND vs. MIL GSW vs. DEN BOS vs. UTA BKN vs. POR
ATL vs. OKC CLE vs. WAS SAC vs. NOP
MIN vs. NOP BKN vs. OKC ORL vs. ATL
HOU vs. BKN PHI vs. NYK DAL vs. MIN
DAL vs. POR NOP vs. LAC DEN vs. DET
NYK vs. CHI CHI vs. CHA PHO vs. MEM
PHO vs. LAC HOU vs. MIN GSW vs. TOR
UTA vs. DET DAL vs. POR LAL vs. LAC
LAL vs. MIA PHO vs. MIA
LAL vs. MEM
SAC vs. TOR

SYSTEM PICK FOR JANUARY 2

OKC +4


SYSTEM: Over on total when Eastern Conference team is favored in non-conference games

This play hasn’t seen much action over the last seven days, going just 1-2 over the holidays. That said, this system is 13-5 over the last month.

More importantly, the over has hit over 58% of the time when an East team is favored against a West team this season. This isn’t exactly a new trend, either. This has been a good play over the last couple seasons. In 2021-22, it hit 55.8% of the time. Last season, the over hit in over 56% of the games where it was in play.

POTENTIAL SYSTEM MATCHES: Over on total when Eastern Conference team is favored in non-conference games

1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7
1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7
OKC vs. BOS ATL vs. OKC SAS vs. MIL BOS vs. UTA PHI vs. UTA CLE vs. SAS
HOU vs. BKN BKN vs. OKC HOU vs. MIL BKN vs. POR
UTA vs. DET ORL vs. DEN DEN vs. DET
LAL vs. MIA PHO vs. MIA GSW vs. TOR
MEM vs. TOR DET vs. GSW
SAC vs. ORL SAC vs. TOR

SYSTEM PICK FOR JANUARY 2

OKC-BOS over 240


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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.


The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.