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Seahawks QB Geno Smith injury: What status means for Week 14 vs. 49ers

Geno Smith is dealing with a groin injury ahead of Week 14. We break down what it means for fantasy football and betting.

Geno Smith #7 of the Seattle Seahawks throws on the move during an NFL football game against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on November 30, 2023 in Arlington, Texas. Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images

Inactives update: Geno Smith is officially out.

Game-day update: Drew Lock will get the start against the 49ers, while Geno Smith isn’t going to be able to go with his groin injury, per Ian Rapoport. Lock will probably be more aggressive downfield, which could bump his receivers’ fantasy upside a bit, but overall it’s a downgrade for fantasy.

The Seattle Seahawks face a difficult task in Week 14 as they travel to face the San Francisco 49ers. Seattle remains alive in the playoff race, but a loss in San Francisco will eliminate them from NFC West contention.

The Seahawks may be stuck trying to win without a key weapon. Quarterback Geno Smith suffered a groin injury on Thursday after he “just kind of stumbled over somebody,” per Pete Carroll. He was listed as limited on Thursday and then sat out Friday’s practice before being listed as questionable on the final injury report.

The Seahawks added Sean Mannion to the roster over the weekend and on Saturday evening, Adam Schefter reported Smith’s injury “is roughly considered a two-week injury.” He’ll work out in pre-game warmups, but Drew Lock would start if Smith is unable to go

Geno Smith injury

Fantasy football analysis

If Smith was going to be your QB this week, he seems unlikely to play. If you’ve got a 4 p.m. ET or later alternative, you can afford to wait and see. Of course, a groin injury can be especially tricky. You should be considering alternatives that are not Drew Lock.

Lock is a decided downgrade across the board. He’s appeared in two games this season, but did not appear in any games in 2022. He last started a game in 2021, starting three games for the Broncos and appearing in three more. He completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 787 yards and two touchdowns.

You would still start DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, but lower your expectations a bit. Wide receivers have done well against the 49ers, scoring the eighth most fantasy points per game this season. But quarterbacks have overall scored the fourth fewest per game and Lock faces an improved 49ers pass rush.

Where this could get interesting is if the Seahawks lean into the shorter passing game. They might look at their running backs and tight ends a bit more to give Lock some quicker opportunities for success.

Betting analysis

The 49ers opened as 11.5-point favorites a week ago. They are now 13.5-point favorites. If Smith ends up inactive, we maybe see some movement, but the injury is fairly well baked in at this point.

This game has letdown written all over it for the 49ers. They’ve been dominating of late and are coming off a massive win over the Eagles. They should still win this game, but two touchdowns is a whole lot of points to lay in this one. They’ll be without defensive tackle Arik Armstead, which is a downgrade to their defense. They’ll be without return man Ray-Ray McCloud, which is a downgrade on special teams. They’ll also be without starting right guard Spencer Burford.

I’m inclined to take the points with Seattle.