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NFL Week 1 Weather Forecast: Wind, Rain and Conditions for Sunday

NFL Week 1 Weather Forecast: Wind, Rain and Conditions for Sunday

Published:

By: DK Network AI

Looking for this week’s NFL weather forecast? Below you’ll find hourly temperature, precipitation, wind and conditions for all 13 games on the Sunday slate, plus what the forecast means for betting and DFS.


At-a-Glance Weather Table

GameKickoff (ET)VenueRoofWeather ImpactTemperatureWindPrecip.Conditions
TB at CINSun 1:00 PMPaycor StadiumOutdoorLow87ยฐFW 3 mph6%Sunny
NYJ at TENSun 1:00 PMNissan StadiumOutdoorLow91ยฐFNW 5 mph2%Sunny
ATL at PITSun 1:00 PMAcrisure StadiumOutdoorLow82ยฐFW 8 mph15%Slight Chance Showers
CHI at CARSun 1:00 PMBank of America StadiumOutdoorLow87ยฐFW 3 mph16%Slight Chance T-Storms
CLE at JAXSun 1:00 PMEverBank StadiumOutdoorMedium88ยฐFSE 6 mph34%Chance T-Storms
BAL at INDSun 1:00 PMLucas Oil StadiumRetractableLow88ยฐFWNW 7 mph8%Mostly Sunny
BUF at HOUSun 1:00 PMNRG StadiumRetractableLow91ยฐFSE 10 mph52%Chance T-Storms
WSH at PHISun 4:25 PMLincoln Financial FieldOutdoorLow79ยฐFW 5 mph4%Mostly Clear
ARI at LACSun 4:25 PMSoFi StadiumOpen CanopyLow71ยฐFSW 5 mph0%Mostly Clear
DAL at NYGSun 8:20 PMMetLife StadiumOutdoorLow74ยฐFW 5 mph4%Mostly Clear

Dome games (no weather impact): Saints at Lions (Ford Field), Dolphins at Raiders (Allegiant Stadium), Packers at Vikings (U.S. Bank Stadium)


Thunderstorm Watch in Jacksonville for Jaguars vs. Browns

Weather Impact: Medium

Scattered thunderstorms are the only meaningful weather concern across Sunday’s slate, and they center on northeast Florida.

Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (Sun 1:00 PM ET) — EverBank Stadium. Thunderstorm chances hold steady at 34-35% throughout the game window, with temperatures starting at 88ยฐF and falling into the low 80s by the fourth quarter. Wind remains light from the southeast at 6 mph. The storms appear scattered rather than organized, making a brief interruption possible but a prolonged stoppage unlikely.

The Texans vs. Bills game also carries a 52% thunderstorm probability outdoors, but NRG Stadium’s retractable roof is expected to be closed. Conditions inside will be climate-controlled regardless of what develops outside.

DFS and Betting Takeaway

Jacksonville’s thunderstorm risk adds uncertainty to Browns-Jaguars game flow. If storms hit during the early quarters, shortened drives and conservative play-calling could suppress scoring. The 88ยฐF heat and humidity compound the concern — wet, slippery conditions in a Florida thunderstorm would disproportionately affect the passing game. Bettors should monitor Jacksonville radar within an hour of kickoff. The rest of the early slate plays clean, though Nashville’s 91ยฐF heat could quietly affect late-game pace for Jets-Titans.


NFL Weather FAQs

How does weather affect NFL betting totals?

Wind and rain are the two biggest weather-driven movers for NFL totals. Sustained wind above 15 mph suppresses the passing game and reduces kicker accuracy on long field goals, which tends to push totals lower. Heavy rain increases fumble risk and encourages run-heavy play-calling, further compressing scoring. The combination of both is the strongest weather signal bettors can act on.

At what wind speed should bettors and DFS players adjust?

The 15 mph threshold is where passing efficiency begins to decline measurably. Above 20 mph, deep passing becomes unreliable and kickers lose accuracy beyond 40 yards. For DFS, downgrade wide receivers in games with sustained 15+ mph wind and upgrade running backs and tight ends. Crosswinds are less predictable than direct headwinds or tailwinds but still warrant caution on field goals.

Which NFL stadiums are immune to weather?

Four NFL venues are fully enclosed domes: Ford Field (Lions), Allegiant Stadium (Raiders), U.S. Bank Stadium (Vikings), and Caesars Superdome (Saints). Five stadiums have retractable roofs that typically close during inclement weather: AT&T Stadium (Cowboys), Lucas Oil Stadium (Colts), Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Falcons), NRG Stadium (Texans), and State Farm Stadium (Cardinals). SoFi Stadium (Chargers/Rams) has a fixed translucent canopy with open sides, so wind and temperature still affect play.