Tyrese Haliburton, Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks, $11,100
The Pacers and Bucks go head-to-head Wednesday and this matchup boasts one of the highest totals of the season, at a whopping 258.5 points on the DraftKings Sportsbook. Haliburton has flourished vs. Milwaukee this season, amassing 59.9 DKFP per game in two matchups, and his success against the club should continue Wednesday. In addition to handling a career-high 25.4% usage rate, Haliburton is leading the NBA with an absurd 55.6% assist percentage this season. The guard is scoring 1.6 DKFP per minute and the Bucks rank 24th in defensive efficiency this season.
Evident from Haliburton’s results vs. the Bucks this season, replacing an All-NBA defender in Jrue Holiday with a weak defender in Damian Lillard has made Milwaukee a juicy matchup for opposing point guards. Furthermore, the Pacers will be on the road for this matchup and Haliburton has been a true road warrior this season, averaging 62.1 DKFP per game on the road, which is a whopping 12.0 more DKFP per game than when he is at home. While priced at a career-high $11,100, Haliburton is one of the best high-end values on the board Wednesday.
Other Options: Tyrese Maxey ($9,100), Terry Rozier ($8,500), Cade Cunningham ($8,400), CJ McCollum ($7,400, if Zion Williamson is out)
Caleb Martin, Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets, $6,400
Since being inserted into the starting five three games ago, Martin has been excellent, scoring 40.1 DKFP in 34.7 minutes per game, including a 37.75 DKFP effort vs. the same Hornets club he will face again Wednesday. Martin has ranked third on the team in usage during this time (23.6%) and this number should remain high on Wednesday, with Bam Adebayo (hip) missing his fifth in a row.
Martin is generating 1.0 DKFP per minute with Adebayo off the court this season and should exceed five times value against this Charlotte defense that ranks second-to-last in efficiency.
Other Options: Khris Middleton ($6,500), Jose Alvarado ($3,800), Quentin Grimes ($3,700, if Immanuel Quickley is out)
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers, $11,400
Just like how Haliubrton has dominated the Bucks this season, Antetokounmpo has dominated the Pacers, amassing 64.3 DKFP per game in his two meetings with the team. Ranking third in the NBA in usage (32.4%), Antetokounmpo is collecting 1.63 DKFP per minute this season and this is a perfect matchup for the former MVP, with Indiana leading the league in pace and ranking 24th in defensive efficiency. Additionally, the Pacers are by a wide margin giving up the most points in the paint in the league and no player in the NBA is averaging more points in the paint per game than Antetokounmpo this season.
The big man is a lock for 60+ DKFP in this massive total vs. the Pacers and the No.1 option on the slate.
Other Options: Victor Wembanyama ($8,800), Scottie Barnes ($8,600)
Jabari Smith Jr., Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies, $6,200
Smith Jr. has been great as of late, recording at least 32 DKFP in seven of his past 10 starts. Included in this sample is a 35.8 DKFP outing vs. the same Grizzlies’ club Smith Jr. will face Wednesday, and this matchup will be in Houston, where Smith Jr. has been 2.2 DKFP per game better than when on the road this season.
One of the main reasons for the second-year player’s recent success has been aggressiveness on the glass, with Smith Jr. tallying double-digit rebounds in three straight starts, and he is a strong bet for a double-double against this Memphis team that is yielding the fifth most rebounds in the league.
Other Options: Keldon Johnson ($6,900), Herbert Jones ($5,500, better if Williamson is out), Trey Murphy ($5,200, better if Williamson is out), Josh Hart ($5,000, boost if Quickley is out)
Julius Randle, New York Knicks at Utah Jazz, $8,600
Randle is fresh off a 50.5 DKFP outburst vs. the Raptors, marking the fourth time he has eclipsed 50 DKFP in his last six starts. Mitchell Robinson (ankle) missed that matchup vs. Toronto and will remain out Wednesday. With the center off the court this season, Randle’s usage has jumped 3.2 percentage points, lifting him to 1.4 DKFP per minute.
As for his matchup, the Jazz rank 27th in defensive efficiency and are allowing the seventh most points in the paint this season. The Knicks carry an implied team total of 116.5 points on the DraftKings Sportsbook in this spot and for the five instances Randle has played behind an implied team total of at least 115 points this season, the big man is supplying 53.2 DKFP per game. At this sub $9K salary, Randle is an outstanding target for all formats.
Other Options: Joel Embiid ($11,800), Anthony Davis ($10,000)
Isaiah Hartenstein, New York Knicks at Utah Jazz, $5,000
Hartenstein is another strong option from the Knicks with Robinson sidelined. While he didn’t start with Robinson inactive Monday, Hartenstein operated as New York’s main center, posting 29 DKFP across 27 minutes off the bench, including the entire fourth quarter of this tilt was only decided by six points. Hartenstein should be in line for 25-30 minutes Wednesday with Robinson remaining out, which is more than enough time for him to out produce his modest salary against this weak Jazz defense.
This season, Hartenstein is providing 1.0 DKFP per minute and he is amassing 25 DKFP per game for the four occasions he has cracked the 25-minute mark.
Other Options: Jonas Valanciunas ($6,700), Brook Lopez ($6,400), Kevin Love ($5,200)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.