Shakir’s role is secure. He holds 18.9% of Buffalo’s targets and has caught 31 of his 42, a 73.8% catch rate. He has also drawn eight red zone targets, so he gets looks when the Bills are in scoring range.
He creates his own production after the catch. Shakir has turned 293 of his 412 receiving yards into YAC, and he added 39 more after the catch on his four receptions against the Vikings.
Buffalo’s offense can carry him. The Bills score 32.0 points per game against a league average of 23.0, carry a 99.3 quarterback rating and convert 66.7% of their red zone trips. Joshua Palmer is now on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, and Dalton Kincaid has been limited with an ankle injury this week, which could leave a few more targets for Shakir.
The Jets have also allowed nine receiving touchdowns to wide receivers, above the league average of 7.5, and cornerback Nahshon Wright has been limited with a back injury.
The Biggest Fantasy Risk for Khalil Shakir in Week 10
New York keeps receivers quiet. The Jets allow 28.3 PPR points per game to wide receivers against a league average of 31.3, along with 120.7 receiving yards per game compared with a league mark of 147.1. Receivers see just 15.9 targets per game against them, well below the league average of 18.2. The Jets have faced Tennessee, Green Bay, Detroit, Chicago, Cleveland, New England, Miami, Las Vegas and Kansas City, a group throwing 9% below league average against them, so the schedule has helped a bit but does not explain all of it.
The matchup also takes away what he does well. New York allows 45.2 YAC per game to receivers, below the league average of 48.7, which cuts directly into the yardage Shakir relies on.
Buffalo’s volume is the bigger issue. The Bills average just 29.5 pass attempts and 27.8 targets per game, below the league averages of 33.0 and 31.4. DJ Moore’s return in Week 8 also added another mouth to feed. Moore has drawn 12 targets in two games since coming back, while Shakir has drawn 10.
He has also scored just once this season despite those eight red zone targets.
Fantasy Outlook for Khalil Shakir in Week 10
Shakir is a Sit in Week 10. His role is steady and he plays in a productive offense, but a stingy Jets defense and a low-volume Buffalo passing game limit his upside.