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Prediction, pick for Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita at UFC 334

Prediction, pick for Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita at UFC 334

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

MMA returns to New York City’s Madison Square Garden this weekend for UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, featuring a women’s bantamweight clash between Macy Chiasson and Bia Mesquita.

Chiasson (11–6 MMA, 8–6 UFC) has dropped three fights in a row — all by unanimous decision — most recently falling on the scorecards to Ailin Perez in February. Mesquita (8–0 MMA, 3–0 UFC) has opened her Octagon tenure with three straight submission wins, capped by a first-round tap-out against Melissa Mullins in June.  

Mesquita enters as a heavy -265 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Chiasson is a +215 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 2.5 rounds.

Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita Fight Preview

Macy Chiasson (#10)

  • 11–6 MMA (8–6 UFC)
  • 4–1 (T)KO
  • 3–1 SUB

Former TUF winner Macy Chiasson has had a turbulent run in the UFC. Largely alternating wins and losses, she’s now dropped three straight fights heading into Saturday night. The 35-year-old veteran remains formidable on the feet behind an imposing 5-foot-11 frame and a 72-inch reach. However, her towering size advantage hasn’t helped much in the grappling department; she has posted a meager 62 percent takedown defense inside the Octagon. In her last fight, against the 5-foot-5 Ailin Perez, she got taken down six times on 10 attempts en route to a 29–28 defeat on all three scorecards.

Bia Mesquita (#11)

  • 8–0 MMA (3–0 UFC)
  • 1–0 (T)KO
  • 6–0 SUB

Prolific jiu-jitsu specialist Bia Mesquita has transitioned seamlessly into MMA — and she looks right at home in the Octagon. The 10-time IBJJF world champion, 35, has won her first three UFC fights by submission, including back-to-back first-round finishes. During this run, “The Lady Goat” has displayed impressive top pressure with nasty ground-and-pound, helping her set up her lethal submission game. Only 5-foot-4, Mesquita now faces a steep climb in competition against the seasoned and much taller Macy Chiasson. But while she’ll likely remain at a striking disadvantage, the Brazilian looks poised to do damage if she can take the fight to the mat.

Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita Pick, Best Bet

Despite facing a notable size disadvantage, Bia Mesquita’s world-class BJJ gives her a clear pathway to victory against Macy Chiasson. The latter has struggled against grapplers in the past, as evidenced by her latest loss to Ailin Perez, also a much shorter opponent. Riding three straight submission wins, “The Lady Goat” should make it four in a row at Madison Square Garden.

Best Bet | Bia Mesquita by Submission (-120)

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Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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