Looking for today’s New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates betting splits? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook betting percentages, including Moneyline, Run Line and total splits, plus where the public is betting, where larger wagers may indicate sharp money, and key matchup stats before first pitch.
Yankees vs. Pirates Odds
| Market | NY Yankees | PIT Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -156 | +129 |
| Run Line (-1.5) | +134 | -162 |
| Total (O/U 9.5) | Over -103 | Under -117 |
The Yankees open as solid home favorites at -156 on the Moneyline. The Run Line is set at -1.5 with New York at +134, while the total sits at O/U 9.5 with the over slightly favored at -103.
DraftKings Betting Splits
| Market | Side | Handle % | Bets % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NY Yankees | 32% | 79% |
| Moneyline | PIT Pirates | 68% | 21% |
| Run Line | NY Yankees -1.5 | 3% | 64% |
| Run Line | PIT Pirates +1.5 | 97% | 36% |
| Total | Over 9.5 | 94% | 56% |
| Total | Under 9.5 | 6% | 44% |
Public Betting Trends
The public is heavily backing the Yankees on the Moneyline, with 79% of all bets placed on New York. However, the handle tells a different story. Only 32% of the money wagered is on the Yankees, while 68% of the handle sits with Pittsburgh at +129. This is a classic sharp vs. public split, where casual bettors flood the favorite with tickets but larger, potentially more informed wagers are going the other direction on the Pirates.
The Run Line shows an even more dramatic divergence. A full 64% of bets are on the Yankees -1.5, but a staggering 97% of the handle is on Pittsburgh +1.5 at -162. This suggests that significant money, likely from sharper accounts, views the Pirates as a live underdog who can at minimum keep this game within a run and a half.
On the total, the over is attracting both public tickets (56%) and a commanding share of the handle (94%). This near-unanimous money flow toward the over at O/U 9.5 reflects expectations of offense in a game featuring two pitchers with ERAs north of 4.00, played in summer conditions at Yankee Stadium.
Yankees vs. Pirates Stats
Team Batting Stats
| Stat | NY Yankees | PIT Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| AVG | .237 | .263 |
| OBP | .316 | .341 |
| SLG | .423 | .427 |
| OPS | .739 | .768 |
| ISO | .186 | .164 |
| BABIP | .278 | .324 |
| K% | 24.0% | 24.1% |
| BB% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Runs | 475 | 538 |
Starting Pitcher Stats
| Stat | Will Warren (NYY) | Bubba Chandler (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| ERA | 4.03 | 4.77 |
| WHIP | 1.363 | 1.452 |
| FIP | 4.10 | 4.58 |
| xFIP | 3.95 | 5.11 |
| K/9 | 8.79 | 8.11 |
| HR/9 | 1.28 | 0.95 |
| K% | 22.4% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 7.7% | 12.8% |
| Starts | 19 | 18 |
| Quality Starts | 5 | 2 |
| WAR | 1.27 | 0.99 |
Team Pitching Stats
| Stat | NY Yankees | PIT Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| ERA | 3.42 | 4.30 |
| WHIP | 1.192 | 1.315 |
| K/9 | 8.85 | 9.24 |
| K/BB | 2.89 | 2.55 |
| OBA | .228 | .240 |
Key Matchup Numbers
- Standings and momentum: The Yankees are 56-44 (2nd in the AL) while the Pirates sit at 52-49 (4th in the NL Central, 11.5 games back). New York carries a two-game winning streak, while Pittsburgh just snapped theirs with a loss.
- Chandler’s walk problem: Chandler’s 12.8% walk rate is the biggest red flag in this matchup. Against a Yankees lineup that draws walks at a 9.7% clip, free passes could compound quickly in a short-porch ballpark.
- Warren’s peripheral edge: Warren has a clear edge in peripherals his 3.95 xFIP compared to Chandler’s 5.11 suggests Warren has been slightly unlucky while Chandler may be due for regression to worse results.
- Pirates’ offensive superiority: Pittsburgh’s offense has been the stronger unit this season with a .263 team average and .768 OPS vs. the Yankees’ .237/.739. The Pirates have also scored 63 more runs (538 vs. 475) in the same number of games.
- Key injuries both sides: The Yankees are missing Aaron Judge (rib, D60), Giancarlo Stanton (leg, D10), Max Fried (elbow, D15), and Carlos Rodon (elbow, D15). Pittsburgh is without Oneil Cruz (hand, D60) and Konnor Griffin (finger, D60).
Despite the Yankees’ pitching advantage (3.42 team ERA vs. 4.30) and Warren’s superior peripherals, Pittsburgh’s offense has been notably more productive, and the handle-side money heavily favors the Pirates in this spot. The combination of Chandler’s wildness and the O/U 9.5 total points to an expected high-scoring affair, which could keep the underdog in play throughout.
Betting Splits Summary
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Moneyline Handle | PIT Pirates (68% of money) |
| Moneyline Bets | NY Yankees (79% of tickets) |
| Run Line Handle | PIT Pirates +1.5 (97% of money) |
| Run Line Bets | NY Yankees -1.5 (64% of tickets) |
| Total Handle | Over 9.5 (94% of money) |
| Total Bets | Over 9.5 (56% of tickets) |
| Starting Pitcher Edge | Will Warren (lower ERA, WHIP, xFIP) |
| Team Offense Edge | PIT Pirates (higher AVG, OBP, OPS, more runs) |
FAQs
What are MLB betting splits?
Betting splits show how the public is wagering on a game by breaking down the percentage of total bets (tickets) and total money (handle) on each side of a market. They help identify which side recreational bettors favor versus where larger, potentially sharper money is landing.
What is the difference between bets and handle?
Bets refer to the number of individual tickets placed, while handle represents the total dollar amount wagered. A side with low bet percentage but high handle percentage suggests fewer bettors placing larger wagers, often interpreted as sharp or professional action.
How do betting splits identify sharp money?
Sharp money refers to wagers placed by professional or highly informed bettors. It is typically identified through handle-vs-bet discrepancies: when a side draws a disproportionate share of money relative to its ticket count, sharps are likely involved.
Should you follow betting splits?
Splits are one tool among many. They are most useful when a clear divergence exists between public tickets and money handle, suggesting professional disagreement with the recreational consensus. They work best combined with line movement analysis and matchup context.
How often do DraftKings betting splits update?
DraftKings betting splits update approximately every two minutes, providing near real-time insight into how the market is moving as game time approaches.
What is the best bet for Yankees vs. Pirates?
The sharpest action by handle percentage is on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 at -162, with 97% of dollars backing that side on just 36% of bets. The Over 9.5 also draws heavy sharp interest at 94% of handle. Bettors looking for value may consider the Pirates Run Line given the significant divergence between handle and ticket count.
