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MLB Best Bets Today: Top NRFI props for Saturday 7/18/26

MLB Best Bets Today: Top NRFI props for Saturday 7/18/26

Published:

By: Bryan Armetta

A 30-team, 15-game slate makes up Saturday’s MLB action. For those looking to cash in quickly on a bet, nothing makes more sense than an NRFI. With that being said, there’s more to this one than meets the eye. Some pitchers thrive early, while others take more time to get settled in than others. Which NRFI picks are worth a closer look on Saturday?

Ahead of today’s Major League Baseball contests, here are two NRFI bets worth placing on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best NRFI Prop Bets Today

GamesPitching Matchup
Orioles vs. Astros NRFI (-110)Rogers vs. Arrighetti
Giants vs. Mariners NRFI (-150)Webb vs. Woo

Orioles vs. Astros NRFI (-110)

Getting consistent contributions from the pitching staff has been a perpetual challenge for the Orioles. Fortunately, Trevor Rogers is beginning to turn his season around. After a terrific second half in 2025, the right-hander was unable to capture the magic in 2026. However, the 28-year-old has a sparkling 2.27 ERA over his previous eight starts. In addition, the southpaw comes into Saturday on an eight-game NRFI streak. In comparison, Houston’s lineup only ranks 17th in OPS against left-handed pitching (.706).

As for the Astros, it’ll be Spencer Arrighetti toeing the slab this evening. It’s been an up-and-down season for the hard-throwing righty. During his last four outings, he’s on the hook for a disastrous 10.89 ERA. With that being said, Arrighetti is far more effective at home (3.22 ERA) than he is on the road (5.52 ERA). To boot, this isn’t the most difficult matchup for NRFI purposes. The Orioles own a 23.47% YRFI rate on offense, fourth-worst in the majors. Baltimore is also averaging the league’s 11th-fewest runs per game on the road (4.29).

Giants vs. Mariners NRFI (-150)

In a battle between aces, the Giants will hand the ball to Logan Webb. It’s been another quality campaign from San Francisco’s ace. Over 100.1 innings of work (16 starts), he’s recorded a 3.86 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 80 strikeouts (7.2 K/9). It’s worth noting that the three-time All-Star has put up a terrific 81.3% NRFI rate this season. On the flip side, Seattle’s offense is 28th in runs per game (4.00) and 18th in YRFI rate (29.59%). The Mariners own the sport’s ninth-worst OPS against right-handed pitching as well (.707).

As for the home team, it’ll be Bryan Woo taking the hill tonight. Much like Webb, it’s been a good (not great) season from the former All-Star. Through 104.1 innings (18 starts), he’s delivered a 4.23 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 102 strikeouts (8.8 K/9). So far, he’s been unable to replicate his dominance over the past two seasons. With that being said, Woo remains almost unhittable at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park (2.10 ERA). There’s a good chance his success at home continues against a dismal Giants offense. San Francisco is averaging baseball’s seventh-fewest runs per game (4.14) along with its second-lowest YRFI rate (22.68%).

Find all your NRFI and YRFI info on the DK Stats Hub! Click here for more!

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.