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Top Tournament 3-Ball Picks for The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Top Tournament 3-Ball Picks for The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

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By: Zach Thompson

Every week, DraftKings Sportsbook offers a wide variety of ways to get in on the action as the PGA TOUR tees it up, and this week’s Signature Event at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is another great opportunity. One great way to get into the action is to find some matchups to attack in these 3-Ball picks for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

If you’re not familiar with the term “3-balls,” let me give the quick rundown. First, their location: each week, 3-balls are available in the matchup section of the tournament page. The “tournament trios” match three selected players head-to-head for the entire tournament. They usually offer a nice balance between getting strong odds and a small enough matchup to break down and analyze. Even in a limited field like this week, picking the winner from the entire field can be tough, but in these 3-balls, you just pick a winner from the three players in the prop. Since there are three players in the mix, the odds are usually plus-odds for each option, and they can be a fun way to play head-to-head matchups.

Last week due to the schedule change, I didn’t post my picks before the Wednesday start, but on the season I have gone 5-4 in my nine picks, which is a strong record for picks in this format. As you’ll see in my picks this week, I’m not afraid of taking some longer odds to find the winner. In fact, two of my picks this week are over +200.

For all the details on the course, format and field this week, check out Geoff Ulrich’s Cheat Sheet.


Keegan Bradley (+210)

Bradley started 2025 very strong and is in a great 3-ball this week against Jason Day (+160) and Sam Burns (+150). While I like all three players, getting Keegan at over +200 is a great opportunity given his excellent recent form and strong course history.

While Bradley has a strong course history, it doesn’t quite match up to Day’s. I highlighted Day as one of my top pivot plays on Wednesday, and I think he’s coming in a little under the radar for DFS contests. While I like him in DFS and think he’s a solid option this week, I think Keegan at this price is an even better play. Day did have a T3 at The American Express this season, but he only finished T40 and T32 in his other two tournaments in 2025. Last week at Torrey Pines, he faded with a 76 in the Final Round and finished T32.

While he was fading a bit, Bradley climbed the leaderboard and finished T15. Bradley has three top-15s in his three events in 2025, finishing ahead of Day in each of the two events in which they went head-to-head.

Even though Bradley doesn’t have Day’s extensive course history, he has played well on this track when he has chosen to tee it up here. He played the Pebble Beach Pro-Am twice in his career, finishing T15 back in 2011 in his debut and returning for a T11 last year.

The real wild card in this group is Burns. He finished T8 at The Sentry and T29 at The American Express in his two tournaments this season. He finished in the top ten at Pebble last year, and he could be the winner here, but I definitely prefer the reliability and results of the other two options. Bradley is my pick here, but I could also make a strong case for Day. While Burns is the clear third option for me, it’s a little surprising to me that he has the shortest odds.

Hideki Matsuyama (+170)

Matsuyama goes up against Tommy Fleetwood (+175) and Sung-jae Im (+175) in one of the most even 3-ball matchups of the week. None of these three have great history at Pebble Beach, but all three are world-class talents that have the potential to win not only a 3-ball like this, but can literally take down the tournament when at their best.

Matsuyama blitzed The Sentry to win the first Signature Event of the season in Maui with a dominant, record-setting performance. He finished T16 at the Sony Open the following week and also made the cut at Torrey Pines last week, finishing T32.

Im finished T4 at the Farmers Insurance Open, which would have won him this 3-ball last week (although Fleetwood didn’t play). He missed the cut the previous week at The American Express, and hasn’t won on the PGA TOUR since 2021 at the Shriners Children’s Open.

Fleetwood hasn’t played on the PGA TOUR yet in 2025, so his form is a total wild card. He did play Pebble Beach last year, and he finished T31 in the weather-shortened event.

The reason I’m going with Matsuyama in this 3-ball is that his game is a great fit for the course, even though he doesn’t have great course history. His short game is always on point, and his Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green and Strokes Gained: Approach should play very well on this track. Pebble Beach features the smallest greens on the PGA TOUR, so getting someone with a great approach game is key to posting strong results this week.

Collin Morikawa (+230)

Let’s get spicy with this last one. Morikawa is matched up with Scottie Scheffler (-115) and Rory McIlroy (+210). It’s clear that both Scheffler and Rory are amazing golfers and can win any tournament they enter, as they have demonstrated repeatedly over the past few seasons. However, getting Morikawa at +230 when both Scottie and Rory are making their PGA TOUR 2025 debuts is a great place to get lots of value.

It’s a high-risk play, but the number is very favorable. While Scottie has been out with his hand injury and Rory has played very limited events, Morikawa teed it up at The Sentry, where he finished second behind the red-hot Hideki Matsuyama. Morikawa has won just one event since 2021, but he did finish in the top ten nine times since last year. Obviously, those numbers don’t stand up to Scottie’s winning spree, but there’s definitely a chance Scheffler isn’t quite ready to return to top form after his layoff.

Morikawa finished T14 last year in his first time at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, although he did also make the cut at the U.S. Open at this venue back in 2019. Scheffler missed the cut at that U.S. Open but finished T6 last year. He barely edged out Morikawa last year, and this year has the added injury issue and potential rust to knock off.

Rory also has had mixed results at Pebble Beach in his career, finishing T66 last year at the Signature Event but posting a top ten at that U.S. Open.

If all the odds were even, Scheffler would probably be the play, but getting Morikawa at this number makes him a great “swing for the fences” play to take down both Scottie and Rory this week.

Zach has been part of the DraftKings team since 2017 and covers baseball, basketball, golf, football and any other sport that offers DFS fun. He has been playing fantasy sports since box scores were only available in the newspaper the following day. Even though he grew up almost 8,000 miles away in Guam, he is a diehard Boston sports fan but will take a fantasy value play wherever he can get it, even if it’s from the Yankees.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is z.thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.