The Chargers lost their last two games, but they’re in a favorable setting vs. the Broncos. More on that when we get to the trends to note when making Chargers vs. Broncos predictions.
First, let’s get into the betting splits for the moneyline, spread and game total bets, which reflect the predictions that have already been made for Broncos vs. Chargers. Following that, we’ll get to the betable streaks that are active in this game.
Game splits
Moneyline
These splits are fairly tight. The Broncos (+120) have only seen 48% of the moneyline bets, but those plays have accounted for 54% of the moneyline handle.
While there is a slight sharp lean toward Denver in this Broncos vs. Chargers meeting, the predictions shift when we look toward the spread.
Spread
The Broncos are the more popular play here, seeing 56% of the spread bets. However, those plays only account for 44% of the spread handle. With the Chargers’ splits being the inverse, the sharp lean is toward Los Angeles covering — this is a far greater lean, based on the percentage points, than what we see with the moneyline.
With the spread only fluctuating between the opening 3-even mark and the current 2.5 line, these splits carry significant weight. Naturally, getting this at 2.5 instead of 3-even is the preferred route.
Total
The total has moved around quite a bit, which does hurt the significance of the splits. After opening at 42-even, this peaked at 43. Not a major move on its own, but that changes when you see the total now sits at 41-even. Again, we’re talking about a total difference of two points, but if you’re riding with the splits, this sort of shift muddies things up a bit.
Furthermore, it’s strange to see the total has decreased while the over is the popular play. The over has seen 67% of the game-total handle on 61% of the game-total bets, thus indicating a sharp lean, but this one feels more like a stay away.
Trends to note
To close this preview out, here’s a look at active trends to note while casting your Broncos vs. Chargers predictions:
- The Broncos have lost the first half in each of the last six games that they were the underdog following a win.
- The Chargers have covered in each of the last 5 games that they’ve been favored vs. the AFC.
- Quentin Johnston has scored a touchdown in each of the last four games that the Chargers have been favored.
- Justin Herbert ran for 12-plus rushing yards in each of his prior four games vs. the AFC. (Rushing yards O/U is 10.5.)
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
