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Prediction, pick for Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee at UFC Vegas 123

Prediction, pick for Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee at UFC Vegas 123

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By: Cooper Albers

It’s going down at 145 pounds on Saturday night as Julian Erosa faces JeongYeong Lee at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan inside the Meta APEX.

Erosa (31–14, 9–9 UFC) is coming off back-to-back losses, most recently getting sparked by Lerryan Douglas in the first round in March. Lee (11–3, 1–2 UFC) has also lost two in a row and is returning to the cage for the first time since he dropped a lopsided decision to Daniel Santos at UFC 315 in May 2025. 

Lee enters as a -162 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Erosa is a +136 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 1.5 rounds.

Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee Fight Preview

Julian Erosa

  • 31–14 (9–9 UFC)
  • 12–9 (T)KO
  • 14–0 SUB

Julian Erosa is taking off the gloves after Saturday night, with his 45th professional fight set to be his last. The 37-year-old veteran will look to end his career on a high note after dropping his last two bouts — including a first-round knockout at the hands of Lerryan Douglas earlier this year. “Juicy J” is an aggressive striker with a dangerous grappling game, boasting high finishing upside in either area. That said, he’s also extremely hittable and has been knocked out several times. His high-octane style, combined with compromised durability, gives most of his fights a short shelf life; win or lose, six of his last seven appearances ended in the first round. 

JeongYeong Lee

  • 11–3 (1–2 UFC)
  • 4–1 (T)KO
  • 3–0 SUB

JeongYeong Lee is back for the first time since May 2025, eager to get his UFC career back on track. The “Korean Tiger” has gone just 1–2 since winning the Road to UFC featherweight tournament in February 2023; his lone Octagon win came one year later in his promotional debut against Blake Bilder, who hasn’t fought since. Still just 30, Lee will look to capitalize against fading veteran Julian Erosa, likely leaning on his high-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu. But Lee’s low output on the feet could be a problem against an aggressive striker — in July 2024, facing 34-year-old Hyder Amil, the South Korean got overwhelmed and stopped in just over a minute. 

Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee Pick, Best Bet

The likeliest outcome is the younger, faster JeongYeong Lee bouncing back with his first UFC finish against an extremely fragile veteran. But Julian Erosa, heading into his retirement fight, could leave everything out there and step on the gas for stoppage win No. 27 against a prospect who still hasn’t found his footing in the Octagon. Either way, Saturday’s featherweight clash should be decided within 1.5 rounds.  

Best Bet | Under 1.5 Rounds (-135)

Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.