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Prediction, pick for Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope at UFC Vegas 123

Prediction, pick for Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope at UFC Vegas 123

Published:

By: Cooper Albers

Featherweight prospects collide on Saturday night as Francis Marshall faces Dakota Hope at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan inside the Meta APEX.

Marshall (10–3, 4–3 UFC) has won three of his last four fights, most recently beating Lucas Brennan via unanimous decision in April. That same month, Hope (11–2, 0–1 UFC) fell short in his promotional debut, suffering a split-decision loss to Kai Kamaka III. 

Marshall enters as a -218 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Hope is a +180 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 2.5 rounds.

Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope Fight Preview

Francis Marshall

  • 10–3 (4–3 UFC)
  • 1–1 (T)KO
  • 5–0 SUB

Francis Marshall seems to have finally found his footing in the UFC. Fighting across 145 and 155 pounds, he’s won three of his last four fights — a solid stretch capped by a commanding decision win over Lucas Brennan. In that outing, “Fire” Marshall overwhelmed his opponent with his grappling, earning a 30–27 sweep of the judges’ scorecards. Still just 27, Marshall has already accrued impressive Octagon mileage. But he’s also struggled to separate himself from the pack against less-than-formidable competition and has shown vulnerability to heavy offensive pressure. Against relative newcomer Dakota Hope, Marshall could parlay his superior experience into a statement win.

Dakota Hope

  • 11–2 (0–1 UFC)
  • 5–0 (T)KO
  • 1–0 SUB

Dakota Hope is hungry to bounce back after falling just short in his UFC debut. Facing Kai Kamaka III, the hard-hitting prospect flashed his power with a first-round knockdown but faded down the stretch, losing a split decision. The loss — which snapped a five-fight surge — followed a script similar to his first pro defeat, with him slowing after an explosive start. The 29-year-old “Huracán,” who trains with flyweight champion Joshua Van, will have to display an improved gas tank on Saturday night. That said, Hope didn’t have much time to ramp up his cardio, stepping in to face Francis Marshall on less than a month’s notice.

Francis Marshall vs. Dakota Hope Pick, Best Bet

Despite past struggles against pressure striking, Francis Marshall should have the tools to stay out of harm’s way against the powerful Dakota Hope. With veteran experience, a grappling advantage, and comfort with going to decision, he should weather the early striking pressure from his aggressive opponent. After stepping in on short notice, Hope’s already suspect cardio could become a serious concern the longer the fight goes on. Marshall should play the long game and notch his third straight win on the scorecards. 

Best Bet | Francis Marshall by Decision (+125)

Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
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