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NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Thursday, October 22

NBA Public Betting Trends and Best Bets for Thursday, October 22

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By: DK Network AI

Looking for today’s NBA public betting trends and odds? Below you’ll find the latest DraftKings Sportsbook Moneyline, spread and total betting percentages for all 2 games on Thursday’s slate: the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Philadelphia 76ers and the Denver Nuggets at the Oklahoma City Thunder, plus where the public and sharp money are landing before tip-off.


For up-to-date NBA betting information and data, check out the DraftKings Sportsbook betting splits page and player props page!


Best Bets for Thursday’s NBA Slate

  • Cavaliers at 76ers Under 235.5 (-108): The Under draws just 40% of bets but 81% of the handle, the widest gap on the slate.
  • Joel Embiid Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-123): Embiid cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season, averaging 41.0.
  • Nuggets Moneyline (+270): Denver holds 58% of the Moneyline handle on only 26% of bets, a sharp lean on the underdog.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 43.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122): Gilgeous-Alexander stayed under this line in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season, averaging 38.0.

Market76ers (PHI)Cavaliers (CLE)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-148+12485% / 15%92% / 8%
Spread-3.5 (-105)+3.5 (-115)68% / 32%69% / 31%
TotalOver 235.5 (-112)Under 235.5 (-108)60% / 40%19% / 81%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatPHICLE
Record45-3752-30
Points/Game115.9 (14th)119.5 (4th)
Opp Points/Game116.1 (19th)115.4 (15th)
Offensive Rating112.5 (16th)116.3 (T-5th)
Defensive Rating112.0 (16th)111.9 (T-14th)
Field Goal %46.2% (23rd)48.2% (T-7th)
3-Point %34.9% (23rd)36.0% (13th)

Philadelphia, 1-0 this season, draws 85% of Moneyline bets and 92% of the handle as a -148 favorite, even though Cleveland went 52-30 last season and ranked 4th in scoring. The Total money runs the other way: 60% of bets are on the Over, but 81% of the handle backs the Under 235.5.


MarketThunder (OKC)Nuggets (DEN)Bets %Handle %
Moneyline-340+27074% / 26%42% / 58%
Spread-8.5 (-110)+8.5 (-110)48% / 52%54% / 46%
TotalOver 235.5 (-115)Under 235.5 (-105)100% / 0%100% / 0%

2025-26 Team Stats

StatOKCDEN
Record64-1854-28
Points/Game119.0 (5th)122.1 (1st)
Opp Points/Game107.9 (2nd)116.9 (21st)
Offensive Rating116.3 (T-5th)119.4 (1st)
Defensive Rating104.8 (1st)114.7 (21st)
Field Goal %48.4% (T-4th)49.6% (2nd)
3-Point %36.5% (9th)39.6% (1st)

Oklahoma City draws 74% of Moneyline bets, but Denver +270 holds 58% of the handle. Last season set up a strength-on-strength matchup: Denver led the league in offensive rating and 3-point shooting, while Oklahoma City went 64-18 with the league’s best defensive rating, and every tracked bet on the Total sits on the Over 235.5.


Notable Player Props

  • Jaylen Brown (PHI) Points O/U 20.5 (-103 / -123): over in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Joel Embiid (PHI) Points + Rebounds + Assists O/U 34.5 (-123 / -107): over in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) Points + Rebounds + Assists O/U 43.5 (-108 / -122): under in 9 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Evan Mobley (CLE) Three Pointers Made O/U 1.5 (+142 / -189): under in all of his last 10 games last season
  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) Rebounds O/U 12.5 (-130 / -101): over in 8 of his last 10 games last season
  • Jamal Murray (DEN) Three Pointers Made O/U 2.5 (-156 / +118): over in 8 of his last 10 games last season
  • VJ Edgecombe (PHI) Points + Rebounds + Assists O/U 18.5 (-110 / -119): over in 8 of his last 10 games dating to last season
  • Christian Braun (DEN) Points O/U 10.5 (-115 / -111): over in 8 of his last 10 games last season
  • Nikola Jokic (DEN) Assists O/U 10.5 (+107 / -141): over in 7 of his last 10 games last season

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