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Prediction, pick for Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura at UFC Vegas 121

Prediction, pick for Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura at UFC Vegas 121

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By: Cooper Albers

A fight more than two years in the making, bantamweight prospects Brady Hiestand and Rinya Nakamura will finally collide at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos inside the Meta APEX. 

Hiestand (9–2, 3–1 UFC) returns to the Octagon for the first time since June 2024, hoping to pick up where he left off and extend his three-fight winning streak. Nakamura is also coming off a considerable layoff, looking to build on his first-round TKO win over Nathan Fletcher in August 2025. 

The pair were initially set to meet at UFC 298 in February 2024 before Hiestand withdrew due to injury.

Nakamura enters as a heavy -380 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Hiestand is a +300 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 1.5 rounds.

Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura Fight Preview

Brady Hiestand

  • 9–2 (3–1 UFC)
  • 4–1 (T)KO
  • 3–0 SUB

Brady Hiestand is attempting to return from back-to-back ACL tears in the same knee. The TUF 29 finalist has been sidelined since June 2024, leaving his three-fight winning streak on a cliffhanger. Still just 27, “Bam Bam” is a dangerous grappler with serious stoppage prowess, as evidenced by his last two trips to the cage: a TKO and a submission against Batgerel Danaa and Garrett Armfield, respectively. Still, Hiestand’s extended absence due to multiple severe injuries casts doubt on his ability to hit the ground running on Saturday night. 

Rinya Nakamura

  • 10–1 (4–1 UFC)
  • 6–0 (T)KO
  • 1–0 SUB

Rinya Nakamura’s return to the Octagon was also delayed after he withdrew from his March bout with Luan Lacerda. But although the Japanese prospect hasn’t fought since August 2025, plenty of momentum remains from that statement performance. Bouncing back from his first professional loss, “Hybrid,” 31, bulldozed Nathan Fletcher in just 62 seconds. The Road to UFC alum is, like Brady Hiestand, a formidable wrestler — one who has never been taken down in the UFC. On Saturday, he’ll look to win these grappling exchanges and score another explosive finish.

Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura Pick, Best Bet

Since these two were originally supposed to fight, the scale has tipped considerably in favor of Rinya Nakamura. Despite riding a three-fight winning streak, Brady Hiestand’s multiple ACL tears raise an alarming red flag in his first bout in over two years. Nakamura, meanwhile, is coming off the most impressive win of his career — and he’s well-positioned to extend his highlight reel on Saturday night.

Best Bet: Rinya Nakamura by KO/TKO/DQ (+130)

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Cooper is a Brooklyn-based writer and editor who joined DraftKings in September 2025. A recent graduate of Jay-Z’s Roc Nation School of Sports at Long Island University, he served as the chief sports editor of the campus newspaper and the lead sideline reporter for the men’s basketball team. His previous stops include amNewYork and the New York Post.
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