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Should fantasy managers buy the Antonio Williams breakout?

Should fantasy managers buy the Antonio Williams breakout?

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By: Keagan Smith

One of the hot names of training camp, Antonio Williams was drafted by the Washington Commanders with hopes he could become a standout receiver to catch passes from Jayden Daniels. While the team did bring in more competition, the rookie wideout still popped in his NFL debut with an impressive first showing.

Was Williams’ Week 1 a sign that fantasy managers should be buying him as a breakout candidate?

Antonio Williams fantasy outlook

A third-round pick out of Clemson, it’s easy to see why there was a pretty significant contingent of fantasy analysts who were in on Antonio Williams this offseason. The draft capital invested in him wasn’t anything superb, but he flashed tons of promise during his time in the ACC.

As a true freshman in 2022, he led the Tigers in receptions (56) and receiving yards (604). His sophomore campaign was shorted to just five games due to injury, but he rebounded with the best season of his collegiate career in 2024 with 75 grabs, 904 yards and 11 touchdowns – pacing the team in all three stats while leading the conference in receiving scores. Granted, 2025 wasn’t as impressive since Williams logged just 604 yards and four scores, but his 55 catches were still a team-high mark.

Williams brings great athleticism to the table with a 4.41 40-yard dash, a 4.10 shuttle and a 39.5-inch vertical jump as measured at the 2026 NFL Draft Combine. Putting him into an offense with a talented quarterback like Jayden Daniels obviously carries plenty of upside, but the hype train slowed down when the Commanders signed veteran Stefon Diggs to complement Terry McLaurin and Williams at wideout. There were some questions about whether the franchise truly trusted the rookie, but those concerns may have already been put to rest.

In Week 1, Williams got off to a hot start in his professional career. He caught all four of his targets for 64 yards and a touchdown, though Washington did ultimately lose to the Philadelphia Eagles. Still, it was a great first outing for the rookie against a strong secondary. For fantasy purposes, he ended up with 16.4 points in PPR formats to finish as the WR16 on the week. How’s that for a debut?

After such a successful first game against pro competition, there are plenty of takes flying around that suggest Williams is going to emerge as a trustworthy option for fantasy moving forward. The upside is clearly there, but for the moment, managers may need to pump the brakes based on the underlying data.

Williams played just 37% of offensive snaps for the Commanders, which wanted fourth among all wideouts on the roster behind McLaurin, Diggs and even Dyami Brown, who all recorded a snap rate of 53% or better on the day. Williams was on the field for 26 snaps – 11 fewer than Brown, 18 fewer than Diggs and 35 fewer than McLaurin. Likewise, the rookie ran just 11 routes in total, with Diggs and McLaurin seeing 25 and 35, respectively.

What does that mean? It seems Williams is the WR4 at the moment behind his more experienced teammates, which isn’t conducive to fantasy production. If he’s not on the field and isn’t running as many routes as the other receivers, it’ll be quite tough for him to carve out consistent points. Granted, rookies at the position tend to see an uptick in work later in the season, especially after the bye. Hope certainly isn’t lost for Williams to produce, and if there’s any silver lining, it’s that his two targets in the red zone were a team high on Sunday.

Still, that’s not enough to earn a spot in weekly fantasy lineup. For the moment, it’s best to keep Williams on the bench in redraft formats until he sees a more consistent share of snaps and routes on a weekly basis. He could pop off down the stretch, but keep expectations in check for the first-year pro. And if you’re bold, perhaps consider trading him to a leaguemate who hasn’t checked out those underlying numbers.

Keagan Smith

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.