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Prediction, pick for Gabriel Lourenco vs. Charlie Cleveland at DWCS Season 10, Week 4

Prediction, pick for Gabriel Lourenco vs. Charlie Cleveland at DWCS Season 10, Week 4

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By: Ryan Wohl

Week 4 of Dana White’s Contender Series Season 10 features a Heavyweight contest between Gabriel Lourenco and Charlie Cleveland. Lourenco is 7-1 with six finishes, while Cleveland enters this contest with a 6-1 record and five finishes. DWCS begins on Paramount+ at 7:00 p.m. ET from the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

Check out my best bet below for Gabriel Lourenco vs Charlie Cleveland at tonight’s edition of Dana White’s Contender Series. 

Gabriel Lourenco Moneyline (+185)

Cleveland is on a four-fight winning streak, with his last two coming by knockout in an elite regional promotion, LFA. He is 2-0 in 2026 and last beat Nyle Bartling at LFA 230 in April. Lourenco lost his first MMA fight in October 2021, but he has won every fight since. Since December 2021, Lourenco has won seven straight contests, with six coming by knockout or submission. Lourenco hails from Brazil, where he trains at the legendary Chute Boxe gym. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Cleveland is a -180 favorite with Lourenco being the +150 underdog in this contest. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, with the under at -395 and the over at +280. This fight is -1600 not to go the distance, as Cleveland is -170 to score a finish while Lourenco is +200 to win by knockout or submission. 

On paper, these fighters are evenly matched up, with both of them standing 6’2,” with Lourenco having the slight reach advantage (76″ vs. 75″). Although Cleveland has been the more active fighter recently, I’m backing Lourenco in this bout because of his quickness and elite finishing ability. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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