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Prediction, pick for Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330

Prediction, pick for Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330

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By: Ryan Wohl

At UFC 330, Charles Johnson was originally scheduled to face Jose Ochoa, but he suffered an injury, forcing him to withdraw from the contest. After that occurred, Eduardo “Chapolin” Henrique stepped up on short notice to take on Johnson at UFC 330. Johnson is 2-3 in his previous three contests but hasn’t suffered two consecutive losses since 2023. Chapolin, 30, is 15-2 with 11 finishes and is coming off a victory on Dana White’s Contender Series 11 months ago. Chapolin also competed on The Ultimate Fighter 33 but suffered a loss in the opening round to Joseph Morales. 

Check out my best bet below for Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330.

Fight not to go the Distance (+120)

Johnson has a knockout win over the current UFC Flyweight Champion, Joshua Van. But since then, Johnson has gone 3-3 in his previous six contests in the UFC. In June, Johnson lost to Asu Almabayev by third-round submission. Although he has been inconsistent in the Octagon, Johnson has been one of the UFC’s most active fighters. This is Johnson’s fourth fight in 2026 and fifth since August 2025. 

Although Chapolin lost on DWCS, it didn’t count toward his professional record because it was considered an exhibition. Chapolin has won his last five professional MMA fights and is 10-1 in his previous 11 contests. His UFC debut is finally here after making appearances on TUF and DWCS, two of the UFC’s shows for up-and-coming prospects. 

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Johnson is a slight -118 favorite with Chapolin being a -102 underdog. The over/under is 2.5 rounds, with the over at -200. Three of Johnson and Chapolin’s previous four fights have ended by finish. So I’m taking this fight to not go the distance at +120. With Johnson coming off a loss and Chapolin making his UFC debut, it has all of the makings of an exciting fight with someone scoring a finish. 

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