Tonight’s UFC Fight Night Main Card features a Welterweight fight between Ty Miller and Billy Ray Goff. Miller has an undefeated record of 7-0 with three knockouts, while Goff is 9-4 with seven knockouts. The Main Card begins at 8:00 p.m. ET and airs on Paramount+.
Check out my best bet below for Ty Miller vs. Billy Ray Goff at today’s UFC Fight Night.
Ty Miller to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+110)
From 2020 to 2023, Goff went on a seven-fight winning streak with five knockouts. But since then, he has suffered two consecutive losses, with his last one coming against Ramiz Brahimaj in May 2025. Goff’s most recent win came in his UFC debut in August 2023 against Yusaku Kinoshita. Miller earned a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series in August 2025 and followed it up with a first-round knockout over Adam Fugitt in his UFC debut at UFC 324.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Miller is a -425 favorite with Goff being the underdog at +330. This contest has an over/under of 1.5 rounds,, with the over at -210 and the under at +160. Also, this fight is -160 not to go the distance and +120 to last the scheduled 15 minutes.
In this fight, Miller has the physical edge as he is three inches taller (6’2″ vs. 5’10”) with a big five-inch reach advantage (77″ vs. 72″). Although Goff averages 7.51 significant strikes per minute, he also gets hit a lot, allowing 5.02 strikes from opponents. After entering the UFC as a supreme knockout artist, Goff hasn’t been aggressive recently. This is an extremely tough matchup for Goff, as he will likely struggle to gain momentum against a much bigger opponent in Miller. Two of Miller’s previous three wins have come by knockout, and I think he will be able to pressure Goff, leading to a finish.
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