The co-main event of tonight’s PFL event in Austin, Texas, is between Lewis McGrillen vs. Rafael do Nascimento in a three-round Bantamweight contest. PFL Austin is headlined by Johnny Eblen vs. Impa Kasanganay 2 for the PFL Interim Middleweight Championship. The Main Card for this event starts at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN 2.
Check out my best bet for Lewis McGrillen vs. Rafael do Nascimento at PFL Austin below.
Under 2.5 Rounds (-130)
McGrillen is an elite prospect as he is 25, has a 12-1 record, and has 11 finishes. Previously, McGrillen competed on PFL Europe, and this is his first fight for the PFL in the United States. McGrillen won the 2024 PFL Europe Tournament Championship. His opponent, do Nascimento, is 12-2 with nine finishes in his career. From July 2022 to February 2026, do Nascimento competed in LFA, where he went 5-1 with one no contest.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, McGrillen is a -330 favorite with do Nascimento being the underdog at +240. This contest has an over/under of 2.5 rounds, with the under at -130, and the over is +100. Both fighters are 5’6″, and do Nascimento has a slight reach advantage (70″ vs. 68″).
In McGrillen’s career, 10 of his 12 wins have come in the first two rounds. Also, McGrillen’s previous two contests came by submission or knockout in the second round. Two of do Nascimento’s last three wins have come in the first round. With two quick finishers, I’m taking this contest to go under 2.5 rounds at -130.
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