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Prediction, pick for Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez at UFC OKC

Prediction, pick for Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez at UFC OKC

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By: Ryan Wohl

The third fight on tonight’s UFC Fight Night in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is a Lightweight contest between Chase Hooper and Mitch Ramirez. Hooper, 26, is 16-5-1 with 12 finishes, while Ramirez has a record of 8-3 with five knockouts and two submissions. On Friday morning, Hooper weighed in at 157.5 pounds, 1.5 pounds over the Lightweight limit. Hooper loses 20 percent of his fight purse due to the weight miss. 

Check out my best bet for Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez at UFC OKC below.

Chase Hooper to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission (-145)

Hooper is in the midst of a two-fight losing streak, the longest of his career. Before that, Hooper won five fights in a row from May 2023 to April 2025. Hooper lost his last two fights by first-round knockout to Alexander Hernandez and Lance Gibson Jr. His last victory came against Jim Miller at UFC 324 in April 2025. Ramirez also enters this contest on a two-fight losing streak. He is coming off losses to Mike Davis and Thiago Moises in his first two fights in the UFC. 

In this contest, Hooper is a -375 favorite with Ramirez being a +295 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. Hooper is also +150 to win by submission and +320 by KO/TKO/DQ. In this fight, Hooper is taller by two inches (6’1″ vs. 5’11”) with a three-inch reach advantage (74″ vs. 71″).

Hooper is a much better all-around fighter than Ramirez, as he lands more significant strikes per minute (4.50 vs. 3.51) at a higher rate (49% vs. 44%) and averages more takedowns per 15 minutes (2.43 vs. 0.59). Especially after missing weight, Hooper should be extremely motivated to score a finish in this fight. Because if you put on a good performance after missing weight, it looks a little better. Three of Hooper’s last four wins have come by submission, and six of his eight UFC victories have been by finish. 

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Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
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