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New Zealand vs. Belgium prediction, pick for Friday 6/26/26

New Zealand vs. Belgium prediction, pick for Friday 6/26/26

Published:

By: Blake Krass

Best Bet for New Zealand vs. Belgium

  • New Zealand +1.5 Goals: It has been a dreadful World Cup for Belgium. They drew their opening match against Egypt, with their only goal being an Egyptian own goal. They followed that up with a disjointed performance against Iran, which ended up in a 0-0 draw. So, Belgium is yet to score a goal that isn’t an own goal in this tournament. It’s difficult to trust them to then go out and win by multiple goals against New Zealand, especially when New Zealand is a threat to score itself.

This is a massive match between New Zealand and Belgium, as is the other match in Group G between Egypt and Iran. Egypt is the only team that has gotten to that pivotal four-point threshold. Meanwhile, all three other teams in the group still have a chance to make it out of the group in tonight’s games. With a win, Belgium could still win the group, and those three points would at the very least get them to the knockout stage. Meanwhile, New Zealand needs a win in this match to get out of the group.

Here are the odds for the match:

Let’s dive into my favorite bet for this match.

New Zealand vs. Belgium Prediction

New Zealand Preview

This is a massive opportunity for New Zealand. The All Whites have a real chance to make history in this match. New Zealand has only made two World Cups in the nation’s history, and never made it out of the group stage. With a win against Belgium, they would get to four points, almost guaranteeing a spot in the knockout stage. While they are big underdogs, Belgium has not looked convincing at all in its first two matches. While New Zealand is vulnerable at the back, Chris Wood and Elijah Just are both massive goal-scoring threats that could steal three points if Belgium is sloppy again.

Belgium Preview

It has been a miserable tournament for Belgium so far. They have drawn both matches against Egypt and Iran. Belgium only scored one goal between the two matches, and that was an own goal by Egypt. To make matters worse, Belgium will be without one of its starting center-backs, Nathan Ngoy, after his red card against Iran. They could be vulnerable at the back against New Zealand’s dangerous attacking threats. Meanwhile, their aging attacking players like Kevin de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku do not look up to the task in this tournament. It will be difficult for Belgium to conjure the performance needed to get the win and guarantee a spot in the knockout stage.

New Zealand vs. Belgium Pick

My best bet for this match is on New Zealand to cover the spread of +1.5 goals. At odds of +165, this number is too high based on how Belgium has performed so far. Belgium might use its experience to scrape out a win, but it’s hard to see them clicking and all of a sudden scoring a couple of goals while also keeping a clean sheet. Belgium will struggle to keep New Zealand out of the back of the net, which would require them to score three goals to cover this spread. In a match where both teams will be pushing to win, I’ll back New Zealand to keep it close.

Best Bet: New Zealand +1.5 Goals (+165)

Additional World Cup Coverage

Check out the World Cup landing page at DraftKings Network for more World Cup content!

Blake Krass has contributed to DraftKings since 2024, and is a content creator with a specialty in sports betting. Blake primarily focuses on college football and NFL coverage but will also be covering college basketball, the NBA, MLB and more. Prior to arriving at DK, Blake was a sports betting writer for The Action Network.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.