18-year UFC veteran Jim Miller makes his 46th walk in the promotion against Jared Gordon at UFC 328. This fight makes the 19th consecutive calendar year that Miller has fought in the UFC. Miller last fought Chase Hooper at UFC 314 in April 2025, losing by decision. Gordon is 9-7 with one no contest in the UFC and is looking to get back in the win column, as he last fought Rafa Garcia in September 2025.
Check out my best bet below for Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon at UFC 328.
Fight To Not Go the Distance (+120)
Gordon is slightly taller (5’9″ vs. 5’8″), but Miller has a three-inch reach advantage (71″ vs. 68″). Miller is 42 years old, while Gordon is 37. Although Gordon is coming off a knockout loss, he hasn’t suffered back-to-back losses since 2018. Gordon’s last victory came against Thiago Moises in May 2025, while Miller’s last victory came against Damon Jackson in November 2024.
Even though both fighters are coming off a loss, Gordon is still the -325 favorite with Miller being a +260 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds, with the over at -200 and the under at +154.
Miller’s name is all over the UFC record book, as he has the most fights (46) and wins (27) in UFC history. Also in the Lightweight division, Miller has the most finishes (17) and total fight time (7:05:31).
On the feet, this is a mismatch, as Gordon averages more significant strikes per minute (5.64 vs. 2.92) and is more accurate (53% vs. 42%) as well. Also on the ground, this fight favors Gordon as he lands 0.28 more takedowns per 15 minutes. Since Miller’s takedown defense is only 48 percent, Gordon could utilize this part of his game in this contest.
Miller’s last 10 wins have come by finish, while three of Gordon’s previous four bouts have ended by knockout or submission. With that being the case, my favorite bet for this contest is that it ends before the scheduled 15 minutes, at +120.
