DKNetwork Logo DKNetwork Logo
MLB DFS Picks: Starting Pitcher Rankings for Thursday 4/16/26

MLB DFS Picks: Starting Pitcher Rankings for Thursday 4/16/26

Published:

By: Sam Connon

The 2026 MLB regular season is in full-swing. There’s a lighter slate on the books with a bunch of clubs traveling Thursday, but there is no better time to dive right into the action. Pitchers are already ranked by price, with the ones who are projected to perform better eating up more of your budget, but I am here to add my two cents. I’ll be sharing my own rankings for the top 10 starting pitchers for DFS in the six-game Thursday early afternoon contest that locks at 12:35 p.m. ET.

Set your DraftKings fantasy baseball lineups here: MLB $30K Bat Flip ($10K to 1st)

1. LHP Max Fried, NYY (vs. LAA)

Salary: $9,500

2025 Stats: 32 G, 32 GS, 195.1 IP, 19-5, 2.86 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 189 K, 51 BB, 4.8 WAR
2026 Stats: 4 G, 4 GS, 28.0 IP, 2-0, 1.93 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 20 K, 5 BB, 0.9 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 27 G, 27 GS, 170.0 IP, 11-8, 3.36 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 160 K, 51 BB, 3.2 WAR (Steamer)

2. LHP Kris Bubic, KC (@ DET)

Salary: $9,000

2025 Stats: 20 G, 20 GS, 116.1 IP, 8-7, 2.55 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 116 K, 39 BB, 3.3 WAR
2026 Stats: 3 G, 3 GS, 18.0 IP, 2-1, 2.50 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, 23 K, 7 BB, 0.4 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 32 G, 23 GS, 142.0 IP, 9-8, 3.79 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 142 K, 53 BB, 2.3 WAR (Steamer)

3. RHP Chase Burns, CIN (vs. SFG)

Salary: $8,700

2025 Stats: 13 G, 8 GS, 43.1 IP, 0-3, 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 67 K, 16 BB, 1.4 WAR
2026 Stats: 3 G, 3 GS, 16.1 IP, 1-1, 3.31 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 18 K, 8 BB, 0.2 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 24 G, 17 GS, 102.0 IP, 6-6, 3.70 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 116 K, 36 BB, 2.1 WAR (Steamer)

4. RHP Landen Roupp, SFG (@ CIN)

Salary: $8,000

2025 Stats: 22 G, 22 GS, 106.2 IP, 3.80 ERA, 7-7, 1.48 WHIP, 102 K, 45 BB, 1.1 WAR
2026 Stats: 3 G, 3 GS, 16.2 IP, 2-1, 3.24 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 18 K, 5 BB, 0.6 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 27 G, 20 GS, 116.0 IP, 3.95 ERA, 7-7, 1.36 WHIP, 110 K, 47 BB, 1.2 WAR (Steamer)

5. LHP Steven Matz, TB (@ CHW)

Salary: $8,500

2025 Stats: 53 G, 2 GS, 76.2 IP, 5-2, 3.05 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 59 K, 11 BB, 1.1 WAR
2026 Stats: 3 G, 3 GS, 16.0 IP, 3-0, 3.94 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 17 K, 5 BB, 0.5 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 29 G, 22 GS, 130.0 IP, 7-8, 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 115 K, 40 BB, 2.1 WAR (Steamer)

6. RHP Keider Montero, DET (vs. KC)

Salary: $7,500

2025 Stats: 20 G, 12 GS, 90.2 IP, 5-3, 4.37 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 72 K, 31 BB, 0.1 WAR
2026 Stats: 2 G, 2 GS, 10.1 IP, 1-1, 1.74 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, 10 K, 2 BB, 0.5 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 31 G, 6 GS, 56.0 IP, 7-9, 4.28 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 49 K, 20 BB, 0.3 WAR (Steamer)

7. RHP Braxton Ashcraft, PIT (vs. WSH)

Salary: $7,800

2025 Stats: 26 G, 8 GS, 69.2 IP, 4-4, 2.71 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 71 K, 24 BB, 1.6 WAR
2026 Stats: 3 G, 3 GS, 17.0 IP, 1-1, 2.12 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 20 K, 5 BB, 0.7 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 40 G, 20 GS, 130.0 IP, 8-8, 3.89 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 117 K, 45 BB, 1.8 WAR (Steamer)

8. RHP Anthony Kay, CHW (vs. TB)

Salary: $7,300

2025 Stats: DNP (Japan)
2026 Stats: 3 G, 2 GS, 14.2 IP, 1-0, 2.45 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 11 K, 8 BB, 0.0 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 29 G, 20 GS, 126.0 IP, 7-8, 4.20 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 99 K, 50 BB, 1.7 WAR (Steamer)

9. LHP Foster Griffin, WSH (@ PIT)

Salary: $6,800

2025 Stats: DNP (Japan)
2026 Stats: 3 G, 3 GS, 15.1 IP, 2-0, 1.76 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 12 K, 6 BB, 0.1 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 34 G, 23 GS, 144.0 IP, 8-9, 3.97 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 123 K, 44 BB, 1.9 WAR (Steamer)

10. RHP Brandon Sproat, MIL (vs. TOR)

Salary: $7,000

2025 Stats: 4 G, 4 GS, 20.2 IP, 0-2, 4.79 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 17 K, 7 BB, 0.6 WAR
2026 Stats: 3 G, 1 GS, 10.1 IP, 0-1, 10.45 ERA, 2.32 WHIP, 10 K, 10 BB, -0.4 WAR
2026 FanGraphs Projections: 27 G, 13 GS, 87.0 IP, 5-6, 4.35 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 72 K, 38 BB, 0.6 WAR (Steamer)

Sam joined DraftKings in 2025 following five years with Sports Illustrated’s “On SI” network. He has covered the UCLA Bruins, New England Patriots, Tampa Bay Rays, MLB, MiLB and NBA, on top of earning awards from the Society of Professional Journalists and College Media Association during his time as a student at UCLA.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.