Lightweight contenders go head-to-head at the Meta APEX Saturday night, as former title-challenger Renato Moicano takes on Chris Duncan in the main event of UFC Vegas 115.
Duncan enters as a -162 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, while Moicano sits as a +136 underdog.
Along with traditional sports betting and daily fantasy, you can now have more action than ever for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan. Check out DraftKings UFC Pick6 for my favorite picks for Saturday’s UFC event.
Chris Duncan More Than 12:30 Fight Time
Scottish lightweight Chris Duncan (15–2) has won six of seven bouts since joining the UFC, including four straight. He’s fresh off a first-round submission of Terrance McKinney in December, and he now heads into his first five-round main event against his toughest opponent by far.
While Renato Moicano (20–7–1) is coming off back-to-back losses, both were against elite competition: division linchpin Beneil Dariush and dominant champion Islam Makhachev. Before that, the veteran jiu-jitsu specialist had strung together four straight wins to vault himself into the title conversation.
Despite winning three of his last four bouts by submission, Duncan will likely be hesitant to grapple with Moicano, who boasts 10 career wins by submission. Expect a considerable “feeling out” process in the opening rounds, and for Saturday’s main event to reach the halfway point.
Virna Jandiroba More Than 5:30 Control Time
Veteran grappler Virna Jandiroba (22–4) is seeking redemption after her vacant strawweight title loss to Mackenzie Dern in October. A competitive unanimous decision, “Carcara” still managed to land nine takedowns for over nine minutes of control time in the losing effort.
Before her championship loss, Jandiroba had rattled off five straight wins while racking up at least 5:30 control time in each bout. She smothered opponents like Yan Xiaonan and Loopy Godinez — both of whom notched recent wins over her upcoming opponent, Tabatha Ricci (12–3). While also a jiu-jitsu black belt, Ricci’s clearest path to victory is on the feet. But that’s a lot easier said than done against one of the most prolific grapplers at 115 pounds.
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Less Than 17.5 Significant Strikes
Turkish light heavyweight prospect Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (8–0) earned a UFC contract with a 30-second knockout of Alik Lorenz on Dana White’s Contender Series, then scored a 33-second knockout of Rafael Cerqueira in his November debut. Aptly nicknamed “The Hunter,” he boasts an 88% finish rate with three knockouts and four submissions — six of them coming in the first round.
He now enters as a -1800 moneyline favorite in his second trip to the Octagon against the struggling Brendson Ribeiro (17–9), and he shouldn’t need more than 17.5 significant strikes to get the job done. While “Gorilla” is a dangerous striker, his increasingly compromised chin — he’s coming off back-to-back, first-round knockouts — and paltry 18% takedown defense are causes for concern against one of the more dynamic rising prospects on the active roster.
Jose Delano More Than 70.5 Significant Strikes
Lauded as one of the most UFC-ready rising prospects, Jose Delano heads into his Octagon debut hot on the heels of a contract-clinching masterclass on Dana White’s Contender Series. While he didn’t score a finish, Delano put on a striking clinic against the durable Manuel Exposito — outlanding him, 149–38, en route to a breezy unanimous decision.
Delano now stands across from Polish prospect Robert Ruchala (11–2), who’s hungry to rebound from a competitive decision loss in his UFC debut last September. The former two-time KSW interim champ is known for keeping his foot on the gas, frequently closing the distance to initiate grappling exchanges. However, his high-octane approach has left him exposed to counterstrikes, which should help Delano land at least 70.5 significant strikes in the three-round affair.
Guilherme Pat More Than 0.5 Knockouts
Guilherme Pat (6–0) isn’t your typical heavyweight prospect. The ultra-athletic, 6-foot-6 Brazilian put his striking wizardry on full display in his UFC debut against Allen Frye Jr. in December. While he didn’t get the finish, you can’t say he didn’t try.
With a towering size advantage, “Kong” should control range and neutralize takedown attempts from Thomas Petersen (10–4), a veteran southpaw who has gone just 2–3 in the UFC. Expect Pat to test his opponent’s compromised chin from a distance and hand him his third knockout loss over his last four fights.
Manolo Zecchini More Than 12.5 Significant Strikes
Undefeated featherweight prospect Tommy McMillen (9–0) makes his UFC debut after edging out a majority decision over David Mgoyan on Dana White’s Contender Series in September. It was his first professional bout that went beyond the first round — and he had to walk through 85 significant strikes in order to land 113 of his own.
He now stands across from Manolo Zecchini (11–4), who’s been shelved since suffering a first-round knockout from Morgan Charriere in his UFC debut all the way back in 2023. Still an aggressive striker with a 91% finish rate, he should clear this minimal significant strike total Saturday night.
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