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UFC Picks: Top DraftKings DFS Fantasy MMA Targets, Values for   Bautista vs. Oliveira

UFC Picks: Top DraftKings DFS Fantasy MMA Targets, Values for Bautista vs. Oliveira

Published:

By: Ryan Wohl

Saturday night in Las Vegas, Nevada, the UFC hosts their first Fight Night of 2026. No. 9 Mario Bautista battles No. 11 Vinicius Oliveira in a five-round Bantamweight fight in the Main Event of this card. Another top-10 matchup at this event is in the Flyweight division between No. 6 Amir Albazi and No. 8 Kyoji Horiguchi.

The Prelims begin at 5:00 p.m. ET with the Main Card starting at 8:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+. Check out my favorite fighters to add to your daily fantasy lineup for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night.

Set your DraftKings fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $333K Throwdown [$100K to 1st]


Studs

Kyoji Horiguchi ($9,300)

After nine years away from the UFC, Horiguchi returned to the promotion and picked up a submission victory against Tagir Ulanbekov. Even at 35 years old, Horiguchi appeared as a legitimate title contender in November 2025, and he has another big opportunity against Amir Albazi.

Horiguchi totaled 108.8 fantasy points in his first fight back in the UFC and has recorded 92-plus points in his last three contests in the promotion. In this matchup, Albazi is one inch taller (5’5″ vs. 5’4″) with a five-inch reach advantage (68″ vs. 63″).

Even though Albazi has the physical advantages, Horiguchi makes up for it with his skills. Horiguchi averages more significant strikes per minute and more takedowns per 15 minutes than Albazi. When Horiguchi uses all parts of his game, he is a tough fighter to contain and defeat. Horiguchi is the second-highest-priced fighter on this card at $9,300.

Jailton Almeida ($8,400)

After losing a close split decision to Alexander Volkov at UFC 321 in October 2025, Almeida is facing Rizvan Kuniev on short notice. Kuniev lost his UFC debut against Curtis Blaydes in June 2025. Kuniev is the better striker in this contest, but Almeida has the advantage on the ground.

Kuniev did a good job against Blaydes, only allowing two of 15 takedown attempts. Almeida will follow a similar game plan to Blaydes and will need to be aggressive, often taking this fight to the ground. In his UFC career, Almeida has averaged 6.66 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 62 percent rate. Almeida has more UFC experience than Kuniev does and is desperately in need of a big performance to work his way up the Heavyweight division.

Almeida only scored 61.6 fantasy points in his last fight, but finished with 115 and 99.4 in his two bouts before that. In eight of his 10 fights in the UFC, Almeida has totaled at least 99 points. When Almeida is aggressive and looks for the finish, he has shown he possesses elite potential.

Value Play

Vinicius Oliveira ($7,400)

Vinicius Oliveira is the seventh-lowest-priced on this card at $7,400. Oliveira is coming off an 88-point performance against Kyler Phillips and has recorded at least 80 fantasy points in three of his four contests in the UFC. Oliveira is facing Bautista, who has more UFC experience in this contest, but still has the skills to make it close.

Both fighters in this week’s Main Event are 5’9″, while Oliveira has a one-inch reach advantage (70″ vs. 69″). Bautista lands more significant strikes (5.58 vs. 5.28) at a higher rate (48% vs. 43%), but Oliveira is better defensively in this matchup. Oliveira only absorbs 2.89 significant strikes per minute, 1.30 fewer than Albazi.

If Oliveira can dictate the pace of this contest from the start, he should be able to hurt Bautista, who was overly passive in his previous fight. Yes, Oliveira doesn’t have the current resume that Bautista has, but he is supremely talented, and this is the perfect moment for him to become a viable contender at 135 pounds. Adding Oliveira to your lineup for only $7,400 is unbelievable value, considering he is +130 to win this fight on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Set your DraftKings fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $333K Throwdown [$100K to 1st]

Ryan is a University of Arizona graduate and Philadelphia native. Since 2024, he has been a writer for DraftKings Network, primarily covering combat sports. He is a big Philly sports fan and loves to collect sneakers, as well.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.