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Can you still trust Quinshon Judkins as a fantasy playoff starter in Week 16 vs. the Bills?

Can you still trust Quinshon Judkins as a fantasy playoff starter in Week 16 vs. the Bills?

Updated:

By: Alex Hunter

Judkins ($6,000) let fantasy owners down this past Sunday, scoring just 4.7 FPTS in the Browns’ 31-3 loss to the Bears. The rookie rushed 12 times for only 21 yards and he caught three of his four targets for -4 yards.

While the end result was disappointing, Judkins still saw great usage as Cleveland’s clear featured back, logging 66.7% of the snaps and taking all but one of the running back carries for the Browns. This type of usage has been the norm for Judkins, as he is logging 52.1% of the snaps and handling a 82.4% rush share this season, including 15 red-zone carries. Additionally, Judkins is running a route on 40% of his team’s dropbacks and garnering a target on 18% of his routes.

This is an immense workload. While Judkins was a letdown this past weekend, he still has scored 15+ FPTS in six of his 13 games this season and this Sunday vs. the Bills is a potential bounce-back spot. Buffalo’s glaring weakness on defense is it’s inability to stop the run, with the Bills giving up the most rushing touchdowns (22) and the second-most yards per rush this season (5.4). Cleveland is a 10-point underdog for this matchup on DraftKings Sportsbook, so the Browns are likely to be in a negative game script. This isn’t ideal for Judkins, but the Bills are so weak against the run that the back having a strong fantasy performance is still very possible.

Judkins is a -110 favorite to score a touchdown in this contest on DraftKings Sportsbook and he is a solid RB3/FLEX play for the fantasy football playoffs this weekend. For DFS, Judkins’ salary has dropped to $6,000 on DraftKings, which is the cheapest he has been in four games. This makes him an appealing GPP target, as he should come with low ownership due to receny bias.

Alex Hunter is an avid DFS player and sports handicapper, who has been a proud member of the DraftKings Network team since 2020. He is a data-driven analyst, who earned his bachelor’s degree in communications at Worcester State University and has been in the sports content business for nearly a decade, covering the NBA, NFL and PGA TOUR. Alex is a diehard Boston Celtics fan, who loves to be on the golf course when he isn’t grinding lineups or producing content. For all of Alex’s work or if you need any lineup advice, be sure to follow him @Hunta512 on X.
Disclaimer

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.