DraftKings’ main NBA DFS slate for Monday begins at 7:00 PM EST and features the first eight games of the night. DraftKings continues to offer huge contests for DFS players and below, I dive into my three of my favorite bargain plays for this slate.
Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $300K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]
PG, Jeremiah Fears, New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns, $5,100
With Zion Williamson (hamstring) and Jordan Poole (quad) remaining out tonight, Fears is a great bargain at only $5,100. With Williamson and Poole inactive for the last two, Fears has produced 24.75 FPTS vs. the Mavericks and 29.25 FPTS vs. the Spurs. During this time, the No. 7 pick from this past NBA draft is leading the Pelicans with a 28.7% usage rate and he is logging 28.4 minutes per game as the team’s starting point guard.
Fears is a promising young talent and New Orleans featuring him with Williamson and Poole out makes a ton of sense for the club. Fears should continue to handle a large role Monday and facing this Suns defense that ranks 19th in rating this season, the guard has 30 FPTS upside.
SG, Duncan Robinson, Detroit Pistons vs. Washington Wizards, $4,500
Robinson has been a nice fit with the Pistons this season, scoring at least 24 FPTS in five of his 10 starts. Just last night, the sharpshooter posted 27.75 FPTS across 30 minutes in a win over the 76ers while shooting 4-of-9 on three-pointers. Tobias Harris (ankle) and Isaiah Stewart (ankle) both missed this game, and while Detroit has yet to release its injury report, both these forwards should remain sidelined tonight, creating some extra usage for Robinson.
The veteran saw a season-high 18% usage rate last night with Harris and Stewart inactive, and with both these players off the floor this season, Robinson’s usage rises a team-high 5.1 percentage points to 17.9% and he provides 0.73 FPTS per minute.
As for his matchup, the Wizards rank third in pace, second-to-last in defensive rating and they are allowing the fifth-most made three-pointers per game this season (14.3). This is a perfect spot for Robinson and he is one of the top shooting guard targets for this slate.
SF, Pelle Larsson, Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, $4,500
In his second season, Larsson has been starting for the Heat and the wing has been excellent in his last two starts, scoring 29.5 FPTS vs. the Hornets and 24.75 FPTS vs. the Trail Blazers. The main reason for his uptick in production has been Bam Adebayo (toe) missing both of these games and the center will remain unavailable Monday.
With Adebayo off the court this season, Larsson’s usage increases 1.4 percentage points to 17.6% and he produces 0.94 FPTS per minute. Larsson has logged 26+ minutes in these past two games sans Abebayo and with a similar workload tonight, Larsson should exceed five-times value, regardless of this matchup vs. the Cavaliers, who rank ninth in defensive rating this season.
