Ross Tucker, Steve Fezzik, and John Daigle are breaking down the best first-round prop bets on the latest episode of the Even Money Podcast.
Who’s your team taking on Day 1?
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The crew opens with a prop bet on offensive tackle Kelvin Banks Jr. being drafted in the top 10, with his odds shifting at DraftKings Sportsbook from +150 to -600. Daigle expressed confidence in Banks being selected in the first round, given his attributes as a prospect. Daigle added that this year’s draft contains guards who NFL GMs will try to stretch out to play on either the right or left side of the line of scrimmage, based solely on their arm length. Daigle expressed that three offensive tackles in this draft are profiled to start immediately: Will Campbell, Armand Membou and Kelvin Banks Jr. Daigle argued that teams like the Raiders, Jets or Saints could be eyeing Banks Jr. to shore up their offensive line. Fezzik shared that selecting Banks Jr. is a safe pick, and that any team that selects in the top 10 will not be second-guessed about making a poor choice.
Looking next at the wide receiver position, where Tetairoa McMillan has +160 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook to be the second wide receiver off the board, Daigle pointed out that there may have been some mismanagement by the sportsbooks, given that Matthew Golden’s odds come in at +120 to be the second wide receiver selected. Daigle sees McMillan at +160 as the better play for bettors, given it is a long shot for Emeka Egbuka to be the second wide receiver drafted on the first night. Tucker pointed out that, leading up to the draft, McMillan was widely regarded as the first wide receiver to be selected. However, Golden’s 4.29 40-yard dash has potentially shaken things up. There’s buzz that the Jaguars might pass on Mason Graham and pivot to McMillan instead. Daigle also noted that the Jaguars recently added Dyami Brown on a one-year deal, suggesting they may be looking for a longer-term complement to Brian Thomas Jr. McMillan’s player comparison is Mike Evans and it’s worth noting that new Jags boss Liam Coen coached Evans during his tenure with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Ultimately, Daigle does not rule out McMillan being selected at the five spot, but Fezzik sees it differently. He does not think the Jaguars will select McMillan as he sees McMillan as a carbon copy of Trevor Lawrence — talented, but with a reputation for not fully prioritizing football. He joked that Lawrence seems more into brunch than breaking down film. Fezzik prefers guys like Bo Nix, who live and breathe football. From what he’s heard, McMillan doesn’t have that same passion for the game.
Moving over to the defensive line, Nic Scourton’s odds have shifted from +240 to +250 to be selected in the first round. Daigle is very confident in him going in the first round, given the host of edge rushers that are going to be selected in this draft. Further, he believes his ceiling is the San Francisco 49ers at pick 11, with his floor being the Philadelphia Eagles at pick 32. Daigle mentioned that teams did their due diligence on Shemar Stewart, Scourton’s teammate, who was able to roam free and make plays because Scourton was great at taking on double teams. Daigle added that Scourton was a 19-year-old defensive captain at Purdue, where he led the Big Ten in sacks and quarterback pressures. Daigle believes Scourton will be an attractive prospect for teams that need a run stopper and predicts Scourton will be selected by the Commanders at pick 29. Tucker emphasized that he loved Scourton as he reminded him of Eagles defensive end Brandon Graham, with Scourton possessing similar ability to play in the interior of the defensive line and on the edge.
The total for running backs to be drafted in the first round is over 2.5 but shifted from +220 to +125 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Daigle has heard rumblings that TreVeyon Henderson could be a player of interest for the Broncos or Commanders. These teams view him as either on the same level or slightly above North Carolina’s Omarion Hampton. Daigle is convinced that three running backs could be squeezed in on night one, especially if certain quarterbacks are not chosen in the first round. Additionally, Daigle has a long shot bet that the Steelers will select a running back with their first-round selection and the odds have shifted from +700 to +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Daigle thinks that if the Steelers don’t love the QBs available, a running back could be in play. Furthermore, Daigle is considering the Saints selecting running back Ashton Jeanty at pick nine as another dark horse. The odds have moved from +2000 to +3500 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Daigle believes there is a scenario where the Saints may not be high on the quarterbacks available and will go with the best player available if the Raiders don’t make a move on the Boise Satte product.
The Bills’ first drafted player being a wide receiver is an intriguing prop to Daigle, with the odds moving from +650 to +700 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Daigle sees the Bills picking a wide receiver or corner at pick 30. The reality with the Bills is that even though they drafted Keon Coleman last year, the absence of Mack Holland and Amari Cooper presents gaps in their wide receiver rotation. So, moving up to get Golden or even Luther Burden III toward the end of the first round could be intriguing because the Bills need a deep threat.
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SHOW BREAKDOWN
2025 NFL Draft Prop Bet Preview
VIDEO:
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