Update: Warriors star Stephen Curry has been ruled out for rest purposes, and the line is now Bucks -13.5 with the total coming in at 243.5. I still like the Warriors to cover this spread at +13.5, but I’ll change my total pick to the under with Curry out.
The Golden State Warriors (18-20) will complete the second night of a back-to-back set Saturday when they visit the Milwaukee Bucks (26-12). Both teams are coming off important wins in their last contest, and this is the first meeting between the squads this season.
The Warriors won’t submit an official injury report until 2 p.m. ET, but the statuses of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins will be worth monitoring for the back-to-back set. The Bucks are on the first night of a back-to-back set and will play everyone outside of Jae Crowder, who remains sidelined.
The Bucks are 11.5-point favorites according to DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total coming in at 246. Milwaukee is -700 on the moneyline while Golden State is +500.
Warriors vs. Bucks, 8 p.m. ET
Pick ATS: Warriors +11.5
This is the first time Golden State is a double-digit underdog all season, likely because the injury report hasn’t been released yet. I would expect Curry, Thompson and Wiggins to play, which makes me lean towards the Warriors keeping this close. The Bucks have been double-digit favorites in eight games this season, sporting a 2-6 ATS record in those games. They went 7-1 straight up. So while Milwaukee should win this game, I’ll pick Golden State to cover.
Over/Under: Over 246
These are two of the more over-friendly teams in the league. Both Golden State and Milwaukee are 23-15 to the over this season. The Warriors have gone 4-2 to the over on the second night of a back-to-back set, and I expect them to play their top guys. As long as Golden State doesn’t rest key players, I like the over to hit tonight.