The new Systems tool in the DraftKings Sportsbook’s Stats Hub highlights plays based on various factors that have been trending over the last seven days, last 30 days and the entire season.
SYSTEM: Under on total in non-conference games
Since March 22, teams in non-conference games have been peppering the under. The play has gone 13-6 during this span. Still, that just barely puts it over.500 on the season at 203-194-8. However, since the start of February, it’s now 86-73-2.
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Five games fit this system on Friday:
- LAC @ ORL
- IND vs. LAL
- GSW @ CHA
- NYK @ SAS
- MIA vs. POR
One matchup jumps out instantly: MIA vs. POR.
No one hammers the under more than Miami, entering Friday 46-26 to the under. Portland is much more of a coin toss at 37-36, but that’s not been the case in this setting. The Blazers are 16-6 to the under when playing as an underdog in a non-conference game. Meanwhile, the Heat are 9-3 to the under when playing as a non-conference favorite.
SYSTEM PICK FOR MARCH 29
POR-MIA under 210 points
SYSTEM: Underdogs ATS following a win
This system is running hot despite spending the season as a sub-500 play. At some point, this star will burn out. Yet, there’s still room to build on the recent 10-6 stretch over the last seven days.
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Six games fit this system on Friday:
- LAL @ IND
- CHA vs. GSW
- BKN vs. CHI
- SAS vs. NYK
- MIN @ DEN
- DAL @ SAC
Minnesota being a three-possession underdog caught my attention right away. The Nuggets may have worked themselves back into the spot atop the conference, but the Timberwolves are still nipping at their heels. Denver could very well pull off the win Friday, especially having the home-court edge and Minnesota not having made the trip to Ball Arena yet this season. But Anthony Edwards (questionable, back) and company aren’t going to let such an important game get out of hand.
SYSTEM PICK FOR MARCH 29
MIN +7
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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook, lines and odds subject to change.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
