We were high on Kansas City Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire going into Week 15 vs. the New England Patriots. Luckily, the Chiefs were able to hold on for a win and CEH came through, racking up 101 total yards with four catches and one touchdown for just over 18 fantasy points on DraftKings. Both Jamaal Williams and Tyjae Spears got some touches but not enough to get us there. We’re back at it in Week 16 with some RB value plays for the main Sunday slate on Christmas Eve.
NFL DFS Picks, Week 16: RB value plays
Chuba Hubbard, CAR vs. GB, $5,700
If you look at the type of volume Hubbard has been getting through the second half of the season, you’d think he should be priced much higher. Like in the $6-7K range. But his price is still below $6K and that will make Hubbard a very popular play this week. Since Week 6, Hubbard has played an average of 65% of the offensive snaps. The past two weeks the split has been widely in favor of Hubbard over veteran Miles Sanders. So we can pencil Hubbard in for at least 20+ touches in a very good matchup vs. the Packers, who just got torched by the Bucs for 34 points. Hubbard has at least 22 carries and 87 yards in each of the past three games. The volume is just too high given his price.
Trey Sermon, IND vs. ATL, $4,800
This play is dependent on RB Zack Moss sitting out. Moss left early in Week 15 due to an arm injury and was unable to return. The Colts were already without RB Jonathan Taylor. So as long as Taylor and Moss are both inactive, Sermon becomes a viable cash-game play. He had 17 carries for 88 yards in Week 15’s win over the Steelers. Moss and RB Tyler Goodson ($4,700) combined to eat up 20 touches vs. Pittsburgh. So again, very dependent on injuries here. But if that is the case and Moss and Taylor are out, it’s not crazy to think Sermon can get up to 15-20 touches as the between-the-tackles back. Goodson would be in line for some carries and work in the passing game.
Roschon Johnson, CHI vs. ARI, $4,800
The Chicago Bears are just about out of the playoff picture at 5-9. Whether or not the Bears are competitive, they should be getting a longer look at Johnson, who was their best back in the 20-17 loss to Cleveland in Week 15. He led the backfield with 36 snaps, which was almost 50%. Veterans Khalil Herbert and D’Onta Foreman feel like afterthoughts at this point in the season. Johnson should get a shot to see if he can be the lead back in the future if given a heavy workload. If nothing else, if Foremand and/or Herbert takes away carries, Johnson should see plenty of targets in the passing game in a very good matchup vs. the Cardinals.