Honduras vs. Mexico: Picks, predictions, how to watch CONCACAF Nations League quarterfinal second leg

We’re in for a potentially thrilling encounter in the second leg of the CONCACAF Nations League quarterfinal round Tuesday evening between Honduras and Mexico, as Honduras surprisingly have a 2-0 advantage on aggregate after the first leg. El Tri will hope to pull off some magic at Estadio Azteca and advance to the semifinals while also securing a spot in the 2024 Copa America.

Let’s take a closer look at the match, with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Honduras v. Mexico

Date: Tuesday, November 21
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
TV channel: N/A
Live stream: Paramount+, fuboTV

Odds, picks & predictions

Honduras: +1200
Draw: +500
Mexico: -525

Moneyline pick: Mexico -525

Despite claiming 65% of the possession in the opening match, Mexico was outshot 12-8 and only put two shots on the frame. El Tri have had some issues like this in past games where they generate a lot of chances but fail to find the back of the net. If they do that again Tuesday evening, they’ll be forced to play a qualifying round for the Copa America.

Honduras got the job done at home, but now have to go into a crazy environment at Estadio Azteca and maintain their 2-0 aggregate lead. There’s some potential for this game to get chippy, after there were five total yellow cards in the opening leg. That type of contest might actually favor the road side, especially since they are ahead on the scoreboard.

Mexico know what they have to do to advance and get to play in front of their home crowd. I’ll take them on the moneyline and there’s a chance to get significantly better odds at Mexico -1.5 (-155) if you believe El Tri will win by multiple goals.