With this article, I’m highlighting the new Systems feature available in DraftKings Sportsbook Stats Hub. Check out the feature for yourself to find appealing systems in play this week!
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System: Non-conference favorites ATS
Last week, we focused on a similar system. However, that one focused solely on AFC road favorites in non-conference games. This one opens things up quite a bit.
Through the first three weeks of the season, this system only went 5-4-1. That’s not going to get things done. But, over the last four weeks, this system is 13-9-1, bringing this system’s season-long hit rate to 57.58% (18-13-2).
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Here are the nine games this system applies to:
- ATL @ TEN
- HOU @ CAR
- NYJ @ NYG
- NO @ IND
- SEA vs CLE
- BAL @ ARI
- SF vs. CIN
- LAC vs. CHI
- DET vs. LV
The Texans are my preferred play for this one. They’ve been one of the best teams against the spread to start the season at 4-2. Meanwhile, the Panthers are a cool 0-5-1 ATS.
Also since 2021, when both teams in non-conference games are coming off a bye, the favorite is 8-3 ATS when playing on the road.
System: Under on total in divisional games
Another league-wide trend is in play in Week 8, but it only applies to a handful of games with there being so many non-conference games slated.
After hitting in 56% of the divisional matchups last season, the under is 21- 13 (61.8%) those games this season. NFC divisional games have a higher hit rate (66.7%) than AFC divisional games (57.9%), but both numbers are still impressive enough to put each of the following four games in play:
- PHI @ WAS
- MIN @ GB
- KC @ DEN
- NE @ MIA
KC at DEN gets the nod here, as both teams are 2-0 to the under in divisional games this season. The Chiefs have also been heavy to the under this season (5-2) and the under is 13-8 in Denver since 2021.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
